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Biotech / Medical : Vasomedical Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Harvey Barish who wrote (966)8/10/1998 4:19:00 PM
From: Fred Levine  Respond to of 1605
 
They also make money by servicing equipment and training staff. Therefore, each site is like a printer--it develops its own need for cartridges, and add little to overhead.



To: Harvey Barish who wrote (966)8/11/1998 12:01:00 AM
From: The Thrifty Investor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1605
 
Harvey,

These are possible sources of revenue other than sales to new
commercial EECP sites posted on the web:

1) Additional sales to existing U.S. sites.
2) International Sales
3) Rental Income (as you mentioned)

I thought that it might be interesting to review the sales and
EPS projections that Alan Tuchman, M.D. of Oscar Gruss & Son,
the lone analyst that covers Vasomedical, predicted as of January
28, 1998 and compare them with the results available so far. Note
that 1Q98 and 2Q98 results were available when the report was
published.

Predicted Actual EPS
Net Revenue EPS
1Q98 (8/97) 1,041,756 ($0.04) 1,041,756 ($0.04)
2Q98 (11/97) 1,135,392 (0.02) 1,135,392 (0.02)
3Q98 (2/98) 1,380,000 (0.01) 1,678,163 (0.02)
4Q98 (5/98) 1,503,000 (0.00) 1,369,753 (0.03)
1998 (5/98) 5,000,000 (0.07) 5,225,064 (0.11)

1Q99 (8/98) 2,400,000 $0.00
2Q99 (11/98) 3,600,000 0.01
3Q99 (2/99) 5,800,000 0.03
4Q99 (5/99) 8,200,000 0.04
1999 (5/99) 20,000,000 0.07 (does not add exactly due to
rounding)

Sometime between 2 and 3 months ago, the $0.07 per share earnings
estimate was dropped to $0.04. I do not know of any new sales
estimates. It appears that the sales estimates for 3Q98 and 4Q98
were pretty good given that the actual results were +22% and -9%
respectively from the estimates. The losses were higher than
predicted most likely due to higher expenses. However, what I
believe really drives this stock is the sales growth. Due to the
high margins (over 70%) sales growth is what will make Vasomedical
rise. I expect that Vasomedical would need about $15 million in
revenue in 1999 to make the present $0.04 estimate. This would
represent 287% sales growth. It is my belief that if this happens
VASO will no longer be a dollar stock.

Best Regards,
The Thrifty Investor