This certainly was a good day for the bears. Crude and OSX each off about 5%. But for those who think oil is down for the count, think again. An anti-American wave is sweeping the Arab world. The recent bombings probably herald much more violence in the future. And this anti-Americnism no longer is confined to fringe groups and Saddam Hussein.
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THE COUNTER-REACTION IS UNDERWAY:
AMERICA UNDER SIEGE
"Saudi Arabia is metamorphosing into
an anti-American nation in front
of our eyes."
MER - Washington - 8/10/98: Cruise Missiles, Stealth Bombers,
Genocidal "Sanctions", Torture Training, Disengenuous "Peace
Process", Kosherized Washington, US Troops and CIA agents
omni-present... There was bound to be a counter-reaction. It
is now here and still coming. And not just from the fringes,
not just from a few disenchanted "terrorists". As this recent
article by Robert Fisk in The Independent points out, it is
coming from the heart of contemporary Arabdom, even within the
Saudi royal family.
T H E S A U D I C O N N E C T I O N
America's broken promises and its blind
support for Israel are provoking fury
in its oil-rich best ally in the
Middle East. By Robert Fisk in The
Independent, 8/9.
THE KEY to the identity and motives of the men who bombed the US
embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam on Friday lies deep within the
nation that the Americans regard as their principal ally in the Arab
Gulf - Saudi Arabia. The attacks, which cost the lives of more than
100 men and women, reflected the growing fury of thousands of Saudis -
including, some say, members of the Royal Family - at America's
continued military and political presence in the land which is home to
Islam's two holiest shrines, Mecca and Medina.
Resistance to the US presence in Saudi Arabia by some of the Kingdom's
most influential figures has been largely ignored in the West - not
least by the routine "terrorist-watchers" and so-called intelligence
experts who have been regaling us for the past 48 hours with the
potential guilt of Iran, Iraq, Libya, Sudan or, to use their own
exotic phrase, "international Islamic terror". Not one of them has
focused on the country whose fearful identity crisis is at the heart
of the current crisis in the Gulf.
It was not by chance that the bombs exploded in Kenya and Tanzania on
the eighth anniversary, to the very day, of the arrival of the first
US troops in Saudi Arabia following Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990.
US forces were invited into the Kingdom by the now-ailing King Fahd,
who insisted that the Americans withdraw all their military forces
once the threat of Iraqi aggression had ended.
The Americans did not keep their promise; today, thousands of US
military personnel are still based in Saudi Arabia with key operatives
inside the Saudi ministries of defence and interior - just as
they were in Iran before the fall of the Shah.
One of the latest claims of responsibility - from the so-called
"Liberation Army of the Islamic Sanctuaries" - itself suggests a Saudi
source. Egyptian security services have long believed that, while
Sudan may be a springboard for military operations against them, it is
the Saudis who have been the principal financial backers of the Gemaa
Islamiya (Islamic Group), which has attacked police, tourists,
Christian villagers and even President Moubarak himself. Saudi money
funds the ferociously anti-feminist Taliban militia in Afghanistan -
just as Saudi money was originally poured into Algeria to support the
Islamic Salvation Front (FIS), whose banning led to the country's
savage internal war.
There are, for example, regular flights of transport aircraft to the
Taliban in Jalalabad which take off from the Arab emirate of Sharjah
but whose flight plans, unlisted in the Emirates, show their original
point of departure as the Saudi port of Jeddah. Weapons have flowed to
the Taliban from Saudi Arabia on aircraft from Uzbekistan. The
Taliban's cruel "Ministry for the Propagation of Virtue and
Suppression of Vice" - responsible for stonings, amputations and other
judicial atrocities - is modelled directly on the structure of the
Saudi "mutawah" religious police. Many members of the Saudi royal
family, whose princes can be counted in their thousands, are far more
conservative than King Fahd and fiercely resent what they regard as
America's betrayal of the Arab world, most recently its refusal to
force Israel to abide by the Oslo peace agreement.
In this context the remote but intriguing figure of Osama bin Laden,
the Saudi dissident now living in Afghanistan, makes more sense. Far
from being an outcast from his own country, he is in contact with the
Saudi authorities via the Saudi embassy in Islamabad. Indeed, in 1996,
he received an emissary from the Saudi royal family who said that bin
Laden could have his Saudi citizenship restored to him plus a gift of
#339m to his family if he abandoned his public jihad (holy war)
against the West's presence in the Kingdom.
"If liberating my land is called terrorism, this is a great honour for
me," he told me last year. He regarded American and Israeli forces as
identical - a view which will have been reinforced by the news that
Israeli intelligence agents have arrived in Nairobi to help the
Americans identify the bombers. But bin Laden is only the latest in a
long line of hate figures upon whom the West likes to vent its anger
(previous incumbents have been Palestinians Abu Nidal and Wadi Haddad,
Colonel Gaddafi, Ayatollah Khomeini, Carlos the Jackal and, more
recently, Saddam Hussein). What the so-called terrorist experts
routinely fail to discuss are the reasons for Muslim frustration:
Palestinian dispossession, American domination of the Arab world,
Washington's blind support for Israel, the US stranglehold on the Gulf
oil market - and the vicious intelligence conflict being played out
between America and Muslim groups in the Middle East.
Egyptian "Islamists" now claim that American intelligence operatives
taught the Egyptian police their increasingly sophisticated torture
techniques, just as they once taught the Shah's SAVAK secret police
how to torture women (after the revolution, the Iranians found CIA
film of these lessons). And "Islamist" groups have been enraged by
America's snatch squads who have, in effect, abducted wanted men from
Muslim countries - in past years, from Malaysia, Pakistan, Lebanon and
now Albania. Many of the Saudi and other Arab fighters who resisted
the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan, with CIA support, find
themselves reviled by their own governments and without passports; a
few days ago, a close guerrilla colleague of bin Laden and an
Afghan veteran, introduced himself to a Saudi outside the largest
mosque in Istanbul to say that he no longer had any citizenship.
So who in Saudi Arabia leads the resistance to the American presence?
Certainly not the three Shia Muslim Saudis beheaded for bombing the US
barracks in Dhahran in 1996, killing 19 Americans. The CIA were
refused permission to interview the men before their execution - even
the Americans suspect they may have been "set up" by powerful figures
in the Kingdom.
Certainly not bin Laden. Among the more vociferous critics of the US
presence is none other than Crown Prince Abdullah. No, he doesn't lead
"Terror Inc". Nor does the Saudi government. They don't need to. For
Saudi Arabia is metamorphosing into an anti-American nation in front
of our eyes. Of course, we're not told about that. Which is why, for
most of the world, the bombing of the US embassies last week was
represented as an assault by Muslim "madmen". Arrest the usual
suspects.
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