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To: umbro who wrote (13158)8/10/1998 11:44:00 PM
From: DLS  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Does Max Pain also take into account the price paid for the options at the various strike prices?

Seems like it would be valuable to know for instance, in addition to the open interest at the various strike prices, at what average cost were the options at those prices actually purchased.

Really no need for a detailed reply, unless it is convenient for you to do so.

Thank you.

dls



To: umbro who wrote (13158)8/11/1998 9:43:00 AM
From: Ben Antanaitis  Respond to of 164684
 
Gary,

RE: Max-Pain doesn't seem to move too quickly.

It's not a bug in the calculations. It is a behavior based on the built-in 'inertia' of having positions built-up in the OI, and that normally there aren't huge shifts in the distribution of OI over the strike price spectrum during the last month of the contract life. Quick changes in the OI distribution don't normally happen. In fact, it took heavy OI action this month to move SUNW's,INTC's and the XAU index's Max-Pain point by one strike price during the course of the month. Typically, it isn't the Max-Pain point that moves to the stock price, it's vice versa. That's the nub of what I'm trying to determine, can one get a handle on the stock price action at expiry day, based on taking a look at the Max-Pain data during the last month of contract life?

As a side thought, one could use the divergence of the stock price from the Max-Pain point as a proxy for the volatility of a stock.

Ben A. (Originator of Max-Pain)
ez-pnf.com