To: VLAD who wrote (13089 ) 8/11/1998 11:48:00 PM From: BigKNY3 Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 23519
Vlad <<There is only one way Vivus will be able to get the domestic script numbers up to par and that is with a strong domestic partner. I know it, you know it, Vivus knows it, we all know it. Evidently this is exactly what Vivus is working on as I type. J&J has a bigger sales force than Pfizer and I would expect script numbers to reach that old level within 3 to 4 months after they take over.>> Vlad: I agree with you that VVUS needs a partner to even attempt to regain its specification levels. FYI, PFE has the second largest field force in Big Pharma (4,500) as compared to J&J's 2,800. MRK is currently #1. Concerning, J&J as a potential partner. I believe the interest in partnering with VVUS is remote. J&J is a big Big Pharma with estimated 1998 earnings of $3.5 billion on revenue of $22.7 billion. techstocks.com Why would J&J be interested in sharing the profits of a product that has potential sales of $100 to $200 million per year and profits of $30-$50 million ... that will require extensive field time in an evolving market? Today's, Big Pharma are looking to partner only on blockbusters with potential sales of $1 billion per year in untapped markets. ie antiarthritic market. They are divesting "smaller" products ...not partnering for "small products". Moreover, in the early 1990s, J&J had one of the patents in transurethral delivery and decided not to pursue the technology ...and ended up selling the patent to a company that starts with a V. A partner may be out there somewhere...but it won't be an easy sell to Big Pharma companies that already have their 1998-2000 plans already in place with existing product lines and new product launches. Good luck! BigKNY3