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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MikeM54321 who wrote (5454)8/12/1998 12:11:00 AM
From: Joseph Beltran  Respond to of 9980
 
Mike,

we don't know exactly how that "intervention" went down. we were told (I seem to recall) that it was a joint u.s./japanese intervention and we were also told that the u.s. had "reluctantly" agreed to go along with it because hashimoto had promised SWIFT action in terms of policy IMPLEMENTATION. Rubin was against u.s. intervention. another unfullfilled promise by the japanese.

we're fast approaching the ninth inning here: mark my words: by its inaction japan is going to throw the entire world into a recession. greenspan was wrong: the risk of a recession hitting our shores (and inevitably the balance of the world's economy) is greater than the risk of inflation. when that happens our politicians won't be talking about what to do with the "projected" budget surplus because there won't be one. we'll be back to big time deficit spending.

regards



To: MikeM54321 who wrote (5454)8/12/1998 1:25:00 AM
From: Frodo Baxter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9980
 
>I don't understand how the economist can say, "waste its money?" What Rubin does is done in secrecy, so I thought. Who's to say the US didn't make money off his trade(s)? After all, it was a "relatively" small U.S. intervention (estimated at $2 billion) that sent the yen from around 146 to 136. Who's to say the US didn't cover the trade at a profit.

You have several deep misconceptions about currency interventions. Try these links:

ny.frb.org
ny.frb.org