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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24077)8/12/1998 5:26:00 PM
From: Bonnie Bear  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Jim: what do you make of the unusual volume on SPY?



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24077)8/12/1998 5:28:00 PM
From: bkg  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
How in God's name does YHOO manage to put in an almost 5% gain considering how shaky everything still looks? Solid companies like AVY or GE I understand, but who is still buying this? Are individuals actually buying as a HEDGE? Any words of wisdom from those who have more experience than I (and that would include just about everybody, from what I can see) would be greatly appreciated.

BKG (the BK, by the way, has nothing to do with THE BK)



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24077)8/12/1998 5:42:00 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bankruptcies are up
Transports well through 200 dma
Banking index teetering on 200 dma
Bull market is old by any measure
Earnings are deteriorating
Low interest rates didn't keep Japan from crashing
Largest public participation in stocks for many years
Consumption outstripping increases in income by good margin last 2Qs
Lowest savings rate in the industrialized world
Heavy foreign participation keeping market afloat
Stocks typically lead economic conditions

Some of the items you've mentioned Oil prices, interest rates etc. are only in place because other markets have crashed.

How bout this one: Every other equity market is in trouble save US and some in Europe.

Never mind we are an island now -- invincible.

Jim, we may rally and maybe even back to 8900 or so on the DOW, but to think it's going to 10,000 now is a pipe dream. There's a reason some of that money has went to money markets. Some of it ain't coming back out of there to stocks.



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24077)8/12/1998 5:52:00 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
puts aren't overbought in relation to calls:

marketgauge.com

And I see a lot more people saying we have bottomed and very few who think this is going to drop through 8000.

You just think there a lot of bears because I post to repetitively. <g>



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24077)8/12/1998 8:37:00 PM
From: Bonnie Bear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Jim, all- there's a news blurb on fundwatch about money pouring into short-the-S&P funds. it's a pretty good bet the brokerages will want to make money by forcing people to cover their shorts (been there, done that) so I guess it would be prudent to watch for money rotating into the undervalued parts of the S&P 500 (there are some) before shorting the puppy.



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24077)8/12/1998 10:16:00 PM
From: bearshark  Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Jim: I am not convinced that we have entered a bear market. This may be a correction. I do not think that commodity inflation is a concern at this point either. Instead, I believe that a number of moneyed people are watching 200 on the CRB. We may see shortly what psychological impact a decline through 200 may have. Maybe the nickel cigar will make a comeback. But if it does, nickels may be scarce.