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To: Bill who wrote (4052)8/13/1998 8:40:00 PM
From: margin_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9236
 
<<<By these calculations (and I admit to a vast set of unsubstantiated assumptions) the most AWRE would
capture would be $150 m over 3 years.>>>

I think you will have this number changed by this December.

P.



To: Bill who wrote (4052)8/14/1998 1:51:00 AM
From: Scrapps  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9236
 
Bill while you are making assumptions, I'd like to suggest a couple to add into your figuring.

*** Businesses. Their connections are, in most cases, within a short distance of the CO...thus they should be considered as a potential contributor to the royalty fees.

*** The other end of the connection...there are two ends to the connection.

These may only double or triple your figures...but what the heck. <g>



To: Bill who wrote (4052)8/14/1998 10:55:00 AM
From: Norman Klein  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9236
 
Thanks Bill, for your strong analysis.

You paint a strong well-constructed worst-case scenario. It is a nice piece of analysis. I am continuing to stick with Aware for the immediate future, because I believe that there are still many factors (that haven't occurred yet) that could dramatically change the overall scenario. But you have presented a strong negative case.

Hope that you were equally sharp with Ciena.



To: Bill who wrote (4052)9/28/1998 11:39:00 AM
From: Johnathan C. Doe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9236
 
Bill, you must be a janitor; you don't have any of this analyzed properly at all. You are looking at this from a micro-cosmic level; not macro which is how non-tech types analyze things they don't grasp; using old fashion methods. What you don't understand is that bigger companies need this technology and don't have years of expertise accumulated. If a big company is left out; goodbye future. They are willing to pay premiums so that they can offer packages of capability. You don't factor any of that into your meaningless numbers.