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Biotech / Medical : PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: zurdo who wrote (4924)8/13/1998 8:41:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9523
 
zurdo, this message from the Yahoo Merck board provides a short term and long term perspective (including price movement) of Merck and Pfizer. The poster is VikingRapier, subject MRK/PFE (message # is 5757 but it may change). It is well-written and unbiased. Have a look:-

messages.yahoo.com@m2.yahoo.com

All these pale in comparison to the really large effect: general market conditions. PFE has a high p/e. This makes people more likely to sell in a down moving market. More importantly, people are simply selling because of reasons unrelated to the company as such: they want to take the profits for other opportunities, or they need to cover margin, or have other bills and they take the profits - and PFE made them a lot of money. We see this in the equal movements of WLA and PFE (both high p/e). MRK on the other hand has a relatively lower p/e, good institutional investment inertia, and so is not as likely to be sold off for the reasons outlined for PFE or WLA.

Bottom line: IMHO, PFE is not likely to explode up for the rest of 98. I think it will run up for 3Q earnings, but then sell off for the October market tanking. MRK will continue muddling through for the rest of this year.

Yet, if your perspective is longer term (2-5 years) PFE is a good place to keep putting your money in. The fact that it is a bargain and may remain so for another 6 months, is a beautiful opportunity to keep buying in at low prices (as Buffet said, if you are a regular consumer of beef, you want the price of beef to stay low). Then, PFE will take off again, hugely. MRK is likely to keep muddling for longer term WITHOUT exploding , unless Vioxx and Substance P not only compensate for the Zocor and patent issues, but match PFE pipeline introductions. My money is on PFE. I believe the long term return on investment will be much greater with PFE than MRK.



To: zurdo who wrote (4924)8/13/1998 9:11:00 PM
From: BigKNY3  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9523
 
Zurdo: No one ever said Viagra would work for every patient. ED is too complex.

For the millions of ex-ED patients for which Viagra is effective, it....Better yet, here is a post placed on today's Yahoo! PFEr Board. He definitely can described the "mystique" of Viagra better than me.

Have PFun!

BigKNY3

From the Yahoo! PFEr Board 8/13/98

Take it from an impotent, no blindness or a risk of a heart attack can stop me from taking Viagra. I'd tried everything: bile of a jackal, fat from the camel's hump, decoction of dried black ants -- you name it I'd tried it. You, people with normal erectile function can't imagine how much the quality of one's life suffers when impotence sets in. It's not about ejaculation. It's about being a complete individual, being able to have adequate marriage, being able to share the most intimate moment in relationships. People with my problem have tremendous psychological deviations.

I don't expect the dynamic dike duo of ninjas to understand it. But if any of you men ever had a frustrating experience, just once, and if you remember the feeling of utter inadequacy, you can extrapolate it and imagine what happens when it becomes a dominating factor of life. Who wants to live eighty years if you can't make love to a woman you cherish? Hell with insurance coverage! Hell with health risks! Hell with Viagra price!

I am rocking and rolling baby!!! Maybe only twice a week, not like you young guys, but it's all mine. Honey, I am home!!!

Your truly