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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Nandu who wrote (2346)8/14/1998 5:15:00 PM
From: sea_biscuit  Respond to of 12475
 

Anil :

Your points are well-taken. However, it has to be kept in mind that there is a big differential in the rate of growth in Kerala when compared to, say, Bihar or Orissa. In general, the southern states are much better off than the rest of India, with the possible exception of the western states of Gujarat and Maharashtra.

Over a period of time, disparities in population and economy, not to mention the historical differences of language and ethnicity, will become more and more pronounced. The laggard states would want the more prosperous ones to share the bounty with them, while the latter, naturally, would not be willing to do so. You can already see this happening right now, when some states are being split into smaller units -- the less-productive parts of the parent state aren't taking too kindly to the changing scenario.

As for the next century, there are too many stresses and strains for India to remain in one piece. With each passing year, it is looking more and more like a powder-keg getting closer and closer to explosion. The same can be said of two other large countries -- China and Russia. Even the US will encounter problems because of its size but is much more likely than the rest to sort them out peacefully because of its well-entrenched democratic traditions.

Dipy.