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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24376)	8/15/1998 2:42:00 PM
From: HighTech	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

James: My question was nothing more than trying to find out if this was your opinion (perfectly acceptable) or if you might have seen this before in past markets or possibly you read someone's research. Many people make a lot of claims about this or that and it's important to know whether what's being said is verifiable or just opinion. Some opinions are pretty darned valuable while others are just opinions. Due diligence thing, ya know? A snickers bar does sound good right now. <g> Happy Hunting HiTech

To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (24376)	8/15/1998 4:47:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Jim, I have been trying to analyze our scans to see if we are missing something. The 200 DMA that we started with was too slow but I am wondering if it is still not relevant for the following reason: Thinking out loud here as I am not an expert in statistics.... The more that fall to the 10 & 20 DMA the less we will see fall???? In otherwords the smaller the %age change we will see???? Am I out in left field here? What got me to thinking about this is this. As I was posting the 200 DMA scans for Friday I noticed that they actually looked worse than the 10 & 20 DMA scans. Anyway, here are the 200 DMA's NYSE NASD NASD100 S&P100 S&P400 07/20/98 48.1% 35.4% 62.0% 68.0% 56.3% 07/21/98 47.0% 33.9% 61.0% 63.0% 53.8% 07/22/98 45.9% 33.5% 59.0% 66.0% 51.3% 07/23/98 41.9% 32.0% 55.0% 58.0% 45.3% 07/24/98 41.6% 32.3% 55.0% 58.0% 44.5% 07/27/98 40.1% 31.8% 56.0% 59.0% 43.3% 07/28/98 38.0% 31.0% 55.0% 55.0% 39.8% 07/29/98 37.7% 30.0% 53.0% 55.0% 38.0% 07/30/98 38.7% 31.6% 58.0% 58.0% 41.5% 07/31/98 36.0% 29.9% 52.0% 55.0% 37.0% 08/03/98 34.4% 27.2% 50.0% 55.0% 35.0% 08/04/98 30.1% 23.9% 45.0% 51.0% 28.5% 08/05/98 29.2% 22.5% 47.0% 50.0% 28.5% 08/06/98 30.3% 24.7% 49.0% 48.0% 31.0% 08/07/98 32.6% 25.8% 51.0% 49.0% 35.3% 08/10/98 31.0% 25.5% 52.0% 50.0% 32.3% 08/11/98 24.8% 19.7% 46.0% 47.0% 26.0% 08/12/98 26.6% 20.6% 50.0% 52.0% 30.5% 08/13/98 25.3% 20.0% 48.0% 48.0% 28.0% 08/14/98 24.4% 19.8% 45.0% 42.0% 27.0% S&P 500 S&P600 R2000 SP600 SP500 07/20/98 63.6% 47.8% 92.0% 92.0% 07/21/98 61.6% 46.0% 92.0% 90.0% 07/22/98 61.4% 44.5% 88.0% 94.0% 07/23/98 56.8% 41.8% 86.0% 86.0% 07/24/98 55.4% 40.2% 86.0% 92.0% 07/27/98 56.2% 38.5% 84.0% 92.0% 07/28/98 52.2% 36.7% 80.0% 86.0% 07/29/98 51.8% 37.2% 74.0% 90.0% 07/30/98 53.4% 38.0% 78.0% 90.0% 07/31/98 48.4% 33.0% 72.0% 86.0% 08/03/98 47.2% 30.5% 70.0% 86.0% 08/04/98 39.6% 25.2% 60.0% 76.0% 08/05/98 40.4% 25.8% 62.0% 76.0% 08/06/98 41.8% 29.7% 68.0% 74.0% 08/07/98 43.0% 33.8% 31.0% 70.0% 74.0% 08/10/98 41.2% 31.2% 29.2% 68.0% 74.0% 08/11/98 36.0% 24.5% 23.6% 56.0% 70.0% 08/12/98 41.0% 28.5% 26.8% 62.0% 76.0% 08/13/98 38.2% 26.5% 25.4% 58.0% 68.0% 08/14/98 34.6% 26.5% 25.0% 58.0% 64.0%