SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kip518 who wrote (24424)8/16/1998 9:30:00 AM
From: Monty Lenard  Respond to of 94695
 
Thanks for the link. Interesting! Monty <eom>



To: Kip518 who wrote (24424)8/16/1998 1:18:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Respond to of 94695
 
latimes.com

Wisdom of the Street, Buy High - Sell Low? -g-

"These cycles take forever" to turn, Grant says.
* * *
Even so, he offers this history lesson: DuPont Co. bought oil giant Conoco in 1981, for $7.6 billion, when many smart people assumed that oil was going to $50 a barrel.

That was, instead, the peak for oil. DuPont, Grant says, would have been far better off in 1981 buying Treasury bonds, which then paid annual interest rates of 15.75% because many investors were convinced inflation would continue to rise forever.

Today, with oil near $13 a barrel, DuPont is seeking to sell Conoco--because there is little faith in oil prices ever accelerating again.

Instead, investors are happy to accept 5.5% Treasury bond yields, on the assumption that inflation is never coming back.

An interesting thought to ponder, even if you think Grant and Tice are living in fantasy worlds.