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Non-Tech : Invest / LTD -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Snowshoe who wrote (1841)8/16/1998 4:50:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 14427
 
That XAU remind you of anything? Take a look at the CRB, NIKKEI, 30-yr bond and POG on a 20 yr basis. You'll see some REMARKABLE similarities and I think get a sense of where the NIKKEI, CRB, POG, and 30-yr bond are going by looking at the XAU which leads the POG. Notice last week's new high in bonds was not confirmed by a new low in the POG. CRB is close to a bottom, I've heard of many investors liquidating their commodities because of margin calls in the equities mkt..LOL!! Take a look at the CRB and you'll see the crash that we are in for in the stock mkt. The CRB has literally launched off a cliff since '97. How perfectly perverse, these forced liquidation margin calls force investors to sell out their commodities for dirt cheap in order to hold onto bloated stocks. HA!!! HA!! ROFL!! Just when everyone is looking for the Yen to collapse and the dollar and bonds to soar..... people are in for a big surprise!!! and it won't be good for the US equity mkts either.

I think the Japanese/US bond trade that has helped us keep this bubble inflated for so long is finally coming to an end, and they have been selling out at the top! Japan appears ot have been liquidating their US bond holdings over the last 3 months. Remember all of those bulls hanging their hats on not having a bear unless there's a rise in interest rates.....well WE'RE GOING TO HAVE A PANIC ON OUR HANDS!!

Here's what to expect over the next two weeks: NIKKEI hits a slightly new low (12000 maybe?) in a panic bottom, our equity mkt sells off in response. NIKKEI strongly rebounds, but we go into the tank as interest rates rise, the dollar drops, and gold and the XAU soar! Get ready to rumble!!!!

be short or be run over

-Lucretius