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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Phoenix who wrote (16059)8/17/1998 10:24:00 AM
From: Dennis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Gary , thanks again for your summary as to where csco will be in 5 years. You asked what they said over on the dell thread , here is the best response I got:

To: Dennis (58436 )
From: Craig Lieberman
Sunday, Aug 16 1998 2:06PM ET
Reply # of 58563

Dennis,
Look to Michael Dell for your answer. Didn't he say that DELL will be a $60 Billion
company in 2001. It is now a $13 Billion company. So even with a shorter time horizon
than now, consider 60/13 to be your ratio for the stock price or about 4.6. Assume that
the stock is trading at 30% growth per year so a PE of 30 is what it deserves going
forward. current earnings of around $2 this year x 4.6 gives earnings of $9.20 x 30 =
$276 share price some time in 2001. Hows that for 3 years of investing. BTW if they do
continue to grow at 30% for the two years after that, the earnings would be around
$15.50/share in 5 years. which would conservatively (lets say 25% growth from there
deserves a PE of 25). would lead to a share price of 25 x $15.50 = $388/share.
Hope it helps explain why I am long in DELL since 1996 and will continue to remain
long for some time.
Gary , thanks again. This was probably the best response I got over at Dell Thread:

Craig

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