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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (24503)8/17/1998 11:46:00 AM
From: Jurgen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
tippet, don't expect a German bank/company breaking down because of RUBEL-denominated assets. Thanks to conservative German accounting laws all loans have already been written down to nothing or are secured by the government or are covered by huge reserves long ago.
Russia is not a new problem, this has been going on for years. Noone really expected to get any money back from Russia. We look at it as a purchase price for Eastern Germany + peace premium and, maybe, an investment that might pay off in 20 years or so.



To: yard_man who wrote (24503)8/17/1998 12:03:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Respond to of 94695
 
Tippet; I think you've seen the light, in big crashes the derivatives
can crash along with every thing else. Did you not notice several
years ago the biggest insurance company in the world defaulted
on it's major obligations. The option market can crash, and the
big writers just go under, that is a real possibility in a melt down.
Books such as how you can get rich in a bear market are mostly
artifice , they omit the many possible upsets while making their
case of how easy it is.
Beside the derivative market being so crooked they do not want
congress to even look at it. What happens if you do make a ton
of $ on a crash, and suddenly the $ are not worth anything.
No one is ever any more secure than their closest friend.
Jim