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To: Robert Douglas who wrote (6706)8/17/1998 5:21:00 PM
From: Gary Burton  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10921
 
Like a trendline, gurus are made to be broken so to speak.Like Prechter, Granville, Garzarelli etc before her, the only direction that Abbey can now go is down. It's a little like rolling 6's 5 times in a row. Everyone thinks the dice must be fixed and that the sixth roll will therefore also be a 6. alas, it throws a 2 and the baton is passed. Abbey's problem at this point is that her system is such that she will be unable to get off the train only AFTER a severe correction in the market--prices lead news after all--at which point she will then be able to see that her FA system is telling her to turn cautious. Regardless of her past record, in my view, she has now become a contrary indicator. At THE top, she will of course still be bullish.



To: Robert Douglas who wrote (6706)8/17/1998 9:05:00 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10921
 
< Profit margins can't go up forever, and IMO are already at unsustainable highs. I think it is reckless for bright, well regarded market strategists to assume that profit margin growth can continue at the rates of the recent past.>

Just curious, but what is the average profit margin of the S&P 500 companies and what is its long term sustainable profit margin?

DAK