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Biotech / Medical : VVUS: VIVUS INC. (NASDAQ) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mkilloran who wrote (13535)8/17/1998 9:31:00 PM
From: VLAD  Respond to of 23519
 
martin,

Here is a link to a message I wrote to the Kahuna on the Pfizer thread assessing Viagra failures:

www3.techstocks.com

IMO it is vital for Vivus to sign a domestic partner to capitalize on the Viagra failures. As I posted before, based on a current script retention of 4,500 and an average Viagra total IMS script average of 200,000 with a 45% failure rate meaning 90,000 scripts on average failing then if Vivus can capitalize on getting only a small percentage of failures to become MUSE patients they can do very well.

I will jot a quick table of translations of MUSE IMS script numbers correlated to % of the 90,000 failures using MUSE

% of Viagra failures going to MUSE/Total IMS script translation

5% = 4,500 + 4,500 = 9,000
10%= 9,000 + 4,500 =13,500
15%=13,500 + 4,500 =18,000 beats '97 average of 15,800
20%=18,000 + 4,500 =22,500
25%=22,500 + 4,500 =27,000
30%=27,000 + 4,500 =31,500 at this point we double '97 average

Domestic partner, Domestic partner, Domestic partner!