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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robert Douglas who wrote (5749)8/21/1998 2:45:00 PM
From: Joseph Beltran  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9980
 
Robert,

Exactly where is the threat of inflation here in the U.S. at this point in time? The wage numbers and employment numbers are being examined with a fine microscope and any hourly wage earnings increases have been moderate under any standards. So what if wageless claims/unemployment are at a low? Many of the "new" jobs are in the service sector which does not create any pressure on wages. The FED is behind the curve IMO in taking productivity increases into account when examining the hourly wage increases.
The deflationary spiral which I was referring to is more significant when we look overseas; however, look at the CRB index at multiyear lows...
I was not aware of the trend in health care costs and will look into it.



To: Robert Douglas who wrote (5749)8/21/1998 2:49:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9980
 
Robert, the CRB is "ready to trounce 200", that is the best "warning" signal that deflationary pressures are here.

Zeev