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Technology Stocks : Ciena (CIEN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RockyBalboa who wrote (2461)8/23/1998 10:12:00 AM
From: Jeff Briley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12623
 
As the Ciena CEO states in the conference call, the reaction to Friday's announcement is "grossly exaggerated". CIEN was anticipating $15 million in revenues from AT&T for 1999 revenues. Based on their current $500+ million a year in revenues, this amounts to less than 3% of revenues. The CEO also stated that they would still meet their anticipated earnings numbers for 1999.

It is not the announcement, but the fact that the price of CIEN stock dropped so drastically that caused TLAB to cancel the merger vote temporarily. I am expecting the stock price to move back up to the $40-$45 range before September 9 when the next vote will take place. Once the stock recovers, the deal will go through as previously planned.

I am long the stock at $33 and held through the dip into the close on Friday. That dip was just due to the uncertainty surrounding the stock going into the weekend. I think the conference call cleared up much of that uncertainty, and we should see a nice gap up Monday morning (as could be seen in the afterhours activity with the price of $34).

Jeff