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To: Elmer who wrote (28190)8/23/1998 1:13:00 PM
From: waverider  Respond to of 95453
 
Elmer...spend some time and go back a full year and read my posts on this thread. You will see I was a permabull until May or so...especially after that classic head fake. I lost a lot of money in trying to fight the market. I got the hell out and slowly transformed for a religious zealot of the buy-and-hold faith to an active trader. If I hadn't, I would have nothing left in my brokerage account. Nothing.

A few points:

I can not predict the future except to say that I do NOT buy stocks that are in a clear downtrend. I used to. I never do now.

I used to let my losses build. Now, I cut them at 10% NO MATTER WHAT.
Takes emotion out of the process. That would be an excellent thing for most of the people on this thread.

Every stock I buy I realize I'm buying the stock, not the company. I used to buy the company. Stocks act differently than the company. I am not interested in watching my capital drain away while I rant on and on about the company's great fundamentals.

This sector is dogsh**. When the bear downdraft comes, and it will very soon, dogsh** sectors often get hurt the most. Just wait until you get washout volumes in some of these stocks.

How do I know a bear is coming. I'm not going to go into it again. If you are interested read my last 2 months posts. Read LT's stuff from the spring. And look at this chart:

207.95.154.130

We keep bouncing off that 8350 +/- level with less and less conviction.

and this chart:

decisionpoint.com

You've got a nice downtrend getting established.

Not nice. I'm short. I have puts. I am making money. In this game, that is all that matters. Good luck on your end.

<H>