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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JF Quinnelly who wrote (7099)8/23/1998 8:37:00 PM
From: Boca_PETE  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42834
 
JFQ: RE: <did Bob warn his clients out of the market prior to the bear market of 1982 or the 1987 crash?>

Brinker's current timing model came into existence in 1988, after the so called "87 crash". During 1987, the S&P500 was up 5.5% for the year - it's therefore hard to see the similarity to the last crash in 1929. After the market had it's parabolic rise during 1987, Brinker did not call the crash. Had you invested at the top in August 87, you-like me- would have experienced a 40% decline followed by a 15% recovery during the last half of 1987.for the amounts invested.

From October 1981 when Brinker's Saturday New York City program went on the air on WMCA until August 12, 1982; Brinker was advising Dollar-cost-averaging into the market asserting that no one knows where the bottom of the bear market will be. On August 12, 1982 at DOW 777, Brinker told listeners to become fully invested. It was one of the greatest calls of all time - i heard it with my own ears, but because I believed the huge bearish sentiment of the time, I didn't act on it to my regret.

II agree that it looks like we will have a good opportunity to compare Brinker vs Armstrong during this September. Good luck - my money is on Brinker - You can understand why I'm hoping Armstrong is wrong.

P