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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: djane who wrote (7122)8/26/1998 10:54:00 AM
From: djane  Respond to of 22640
 
Brazil's Bovespa seen down on Russia fears
[I thought Brazil isn't Russia...]

Wednesday August 26, 9:22 am Eastern Time

SAO PAULO, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Brazilian shares were seen
falling for the sixth straight session on Wednesday as investors
dump emerging market stocks in a bid to make up for losses in
Russia that could result from the debt restructuring there,
market players said.

''The market is going to open under fire as a result of the announcements in Russia,'' said Martin
Arranz, a fund manager at Banco Patente. ''A lot of investors are going to have to raise cash
quickly to cover that.''

On Tuesday, Sao Paulo's key Bovespa index slipped 0.09 percent amid very light trading to
7,648 points, bringing losses this month to 28.5 percent.

Late on Tuesday, Russia announced plans to restructure $40 billion in short-term domestic debt
into longer-term paper. Concern over a looming financial crisis shook markets on Wednesday
and U.S. stocks were set to open down, traders said.

The Brazilian government has repeatedly denied speculation that the country's markets will come
under pressure as a result of the turbulence in Russia.

On Tuesday, Finance Minister Pedro Malan pointed to an editorial in ''The Wall Street Journal''
titled ''Brazil is not Russia,'' as proof that investors are increasingly discerning between different
emerging markets, newspapers reported.

The assurances have failed to calm debt and stock markets, however. The C-Bond, Brazil's
benchmark foreign debt fixed-income instrument, tumbled 4.625 percentage points to 53.50 in
morning trading.

Foreign investors yanked a net 1.194 billion reais the Bovespa in the first 20 days of August
alone, bigger than any monthly net withdrawal in the exchange's history.

The foreign exchange market, however, has been calm, traders said. A large inflow of cash as a
result of privatizations is expected to offset outflows, leaving net foreign reserves close to $70
billion, economists said.

Stocks were seen extending already considerable losses on Wednesday amid light trading.

''Volume should be very light and mostly concentrated in Telebras,'' (TELB4.SA), a trader at a
local brokerage said. ''Prices are very cheap, but the market has no fundamentals now.''

Bluechip activity Tuesday:

Telebras (TELB4.SA) up 0.20 pct at 98.50 reais

Petrobras (PETR4.SA) down 2.50 pct at 156.00 reais

Eletrobras (ELET6.SA) down 2.86 pct at 23.80 reais

Vale do Rio Doce (VALE5.SA) down 4.12 pct at 16.30 reais

Sao Paulo stock exchange's Bovespa index of the 58 most-traded shares:

* Tuesday: down 0.09 pct at 7,648 points

* Week: down 1.4 pct

* Month: down 28.5 pct

* Year-to-date: down 24.9 pct

SELIC (open): 2.08 pct

Dollar/Real (open): 1.1735 per dollar

YESTERDAY'S STORIES (\SUR)

*****
SPOT REAL QUOTES
BOVESPA STOCK INDEX <.BVSP>
ELECTRICAL ENERGY INDEX <.IEE>
BRAZILIAN ADR PRICES
BRAZILIAN BRADY BOND PRICES <2LDO>
BRAZILIAN DOLLAR FLOW HISTORY

Related News Categories: international, US Market News

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Questions or Comments?



To: djane who wrote (7122)8/26/1998 11:24:00 AM
From: chirodoc  Respond to of 22640
 
yep, i am in the market for some more
bought a bit at 95
then 85
looking to buy more in high 70's
then i will buy a bit more for each 5 points that it drops
if it gets into the 60's we should sell the house and kids
i won't load up till i think it has bottomed
where is the bottom?
who the hell knows
i think it came out in the 60's didn't it?
60-80 makes sense for the next couple months
but i am just guessing
in the 70's the p/e must be 5? anybody know?
curtis



To: djane who wrote (7122)8/26/1998 11:43:00 AM
From: MGV  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 22640
 
Anyone else doing any buying?

When its under 80, and I'm sticking to it.



To: djane who wrote (7122)8/26/1998 9:15:00 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 22640
 
DJ, why do you trade TBH?

Since auction I did some 40 trades and IMO TBR trading is easier. I only used TBH to close my TBR position, and found it hard to trade inside quote. Also the executions are much quicker in TBR, which seems due to the high volume. Still, TBR is the stock with more spikes and volume is still 5:1 for TBR.

I'm finally long TBR as the price ran into my order at 80 3/4 after a hard day.

Christian