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Strategies & Market Trends : Russian Crisis - Is it a buying opportunity? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cyrus who wrote (2)8/28/1998 9:56:00 PM
From: Jeffrey L. Henken  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 175
 
Industrials Falter As Worries Persist About Russia, Asia

By TERRI CULLEN INTERACTIVE JOURNAL

Stocks ended a volatile week with steep losses Friday as anxiety about the troubled Russian and Asian economies prompted skittish investors to raise cash. Bonds edged lower and the dollar traded mixed.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped 114.31, or 1.4%, to 8051.68, bringing its total loss in an extremely volatile week of trading to 514.93, or 6%. The industrials finished at their lowest level since Jan. 30, when the average closed at 7906.50. The blue-chip average now is down 13.7% from its July 17 high, putting it squarely into what Wall Street calls a "correction," or a decline of 10% or more.

The Standard & Poor's 500-stock index fell 14.64 to 1027.95 on Friday and the New York Stock Exchange Composite Index dropped 6.70 to 512.12. Smaller issues also suffered, with the Russell 200 index of small stocks down 7.55 to 358.55. Technology stocks posted the steepest losses, with the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index tumbling 46.61, or about 2.76%, to 1639.81. The Nasdaq composite is now down 18.6% from its high of 2014.25 on July 20, just below the 20% level that indicates a bear market.

Tech shares, particularly volatile Internet stocks, stumbled after a chorus of analysts Friday urged investors to stick with highly liquid large-capitalization shares amid worries that economic instability around the globe could depress corporate profits in the U.S. Among the most widely held Internet issues, Amazon.com skidded 13 7/16 to 105 57/64, America Online dropped 8 1/2 to 96 1/2, and Yahoo! fell 8 to 83
1/16.

"We've gotten to the point where even the techs that have been hanging in there really well are feeling the pinch," said Greg Nie, technical analyst at Everen Securities Inc. "The tentacles of this correction are reaching out even further and they're catching up now with stocks that have very little exposure overseas."

While European equities managed to recover from steep early declines Friday, elsewhere in the world the financial picture was bleak. Russian markets remained paralyzed by the turmoil that erupted in the Russian government this week. President Boris Yeltsin returned to Moscow Friday amid news reports that his acting prime minister, Viktor Chernomyrdin, had agreed to a reversal of free-market reforms as part of a political compromise to keep Mr. Yeltsin in office.

BankAmerica and BankBoston were the latest U.S. banks to report losses as a result of the economic turmoil in Russia. BankAmerica, the nation's fifth-largest bank, said attributed about $220 million in quarter-to-date trading losses to market volatility in Russia, while BankBoston, the 17th largest, reported said only about $10 million of its quarter-to-date loss is tied to Russia. BankAmerica's shares slumped 4 1/4 to 69 1/2, while BankBoston lost 3 to 36. Meanwhile, Asian equities markets came in for another pounding Friday, as investors added worries about the fallout from Russia's financial crisis to an ever-increasing list of troubling economic news buffeting the region's emerging markets. "There's still a lot of hesitancy out there given that there's no real resolution in the economic and political problems in Russia and Asia. The only thing that's going to shake us out of this rut is some concrete signs of stability overseas," said Anthony Dwyer, market strategist at Ladenburg Thalmann & Co.

Bonds remained tied to Wall Street's gyrations, moving in tandem with trading in U.S. stocks. The long-bond's yield, which moves in the opposite direction of the price, plunged to a new low Thursday in a powerful flight-to-quality rally sparked by turmoil in the international markets.

A report on U.S. personal income and spending had little impact on trading. Consumer spending fell 0.2% last month, the first decline in spending in more than two years. Income rose 0.5%, lifting the savings rate to 0.8% after three months of steady declines. The dollar plunged against the mark and crept higher against the yen, but traders noted that the market's thin volume exaggerated price swings. The mark's rally was partially attributed to market participants reacting favorably to Mr. Yeltsin's vow Friday to stay in office and not dissolve the Russian parliament. The Russian president addressed his countrymen in a televised interview Friday. World-wide, stocks eased in dollar terms. The Dow Jones World Stock Index was down 1.75 to 171.00 as of 6:30 p.m. EDT.

In major market action: Stocks tumbled. On the Big Board, volume totaled 838.7 million shares, with 2,313 stocks declining and 918 advancing. Bonds slipped. The 30-year bellwether Treasury bond was down less than 1/8 point, or $1.25 per $1,000 bond. Its yield, which moves in the opposite direction of its price, stood at 5.35%. The dollar was mixed. It was at 1.7582 marks and 141.92 yen, compared with 1.7970 marks and 141.87 yen late Thursday in New York.

Tapewatch Update

July personal income rose 0.5%, greater than the 0.3% increase expected and compared with a revised 0.3% rise the previous month. But spending slipped 0.2% in July. Economists had been expecting an increase of 0.1%, following a 0.6% rise in June.

interactive.wsj.com

Regards, Jeff



To: Cyrus who wrote (2)8/29/1998 10:02:00 AM
From: Jeffrey L. Henken  Respond to of 175
 
Well here is another article that seems to agree with your thinking. The thought here is that we are already in a bear market and that only the larger issues which have held up relatively well until lately have been masking that fact:

tscn.com

Regards, Jeff



To: Cyrus who wrote (2)8/29/1998 10:48:00 AM
From: Jeffrey L. Henken  Respond to of 175
 
No Bounce Back In Stocks; Dow Off 483 For The Week

Date: 8/31/98

The market made a couple of rally attempts Friday, but both were feeble and short-lived. The Dow industrials shed another 114.31 points, or 1.4%, to 8051.68. The blue chip average is now 13.8% off its July 17 peak. Smaller stocks remained the weakest. The Nasdaq fell 2.7%, bringing its six-week loss to 18.6%. The Russell 2000 has plunged 22.6% since mid-July and 26.9% from its April 22 high. Foreign markets also continued lower.

Regards, Jeff




To: Cyrus who wrote (2)8/31/1998 1:01:00 PM
From: Jeffrey L. Henken  Respond to of 175
 
Dow Down 131.56 at 7,920.12

NEW YORK (AP) -- The Dow Jones industrials tumbled below the 8,000 mark, bringing the market down to last year's levels in a sign that Wall Street hasn't hit bottom despite last week's landslide.

At noon on Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 131.56 at 7,920.12. If the diving blue-chip average doesn't reverse course by the end of the day the it would close below the 8,000 mark for the first time since Jan. 30.

With this morning's losses, the Dow gave up the last of this year's gains. It ended 1997 at 7,908.25. The last time the Dow closed below 8,000 was on Jan. 30.

Last week the Dow plunged 481.97 points, or 5.6 percent, taking a four-digit drop below its July 17 record of 9,337.97 in the biggest percentage drop for a calendar week since 1989.

Broad-market indicators also were sharply lower, amid news of a parliamentary showdown in Russia and North Korea's apparent firing of a missile over part of Japan.

In Russia, the communist opposition said today it would block the approval of Boris Yeltsin's choice for prime minister, despite Russia's growing economic crisis. Acting Prime Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin warned Russia was on the edge of chaos and pleaded with lawmakers to approve the formation of a government to tackle the crisis.

Russian and Japanese economic troubles have roiled Wall Street, prompting fears of lower corporate profits and a global economic slowdown.

In other news from the East that troubled Wall Street, North Korean fired a ballistic missile over northeastern Japan today that landed in the Pacific Ocean, according to news reports quoting Japan's Defense Agency.

The day's rout hammered technology stocks, driving the technology-laden Nasdaq composite index was down 65.57 at 1,591.41. America Online (NYSE:AOL - news) was down 7 3/4 at 88 1/2 and Lucent Technologies (NYSE:LU - news) was down 7 15/16 at 73 1/16. Drug makers also took a beating, with Merck & Co. (NYSE:MRK - news) down 6 1/8 at 121 1/4, Warner (NYSE:WLA - news)-Lambert down 6 3/4 at 67 3/4, and Pfizer down 5 at 96 5/8.

Twenty-three of the 30 Dow industrial stocks lost ground, with Coca (NYSE:KO - news)-Cola down 4 3/8 at 63 3/89.

In the broader market, the Standard & Poor's 500 index was down 23.99 at 1,003.15.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a decisive 3-to-1 margin on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 365.54 million shares, below Friday's midday pace.

The NYSE composite index was down 10.78 at 501.34, and the American Stock Exchange composite index was down 5.70 at 596.88.

Overseas, Tokyo's Nikkei stock average rose 1.4 percent, while Frankfurt's DAX index fell 3.2 percent and London's FT-SE 100 slid 1.5 percent.

biz.yahoo.com

We've been down as much as 180 points on the DOW. The NASDAQ has been awful.

quote.yahoo.com

Should I stop looking?

Regards, Jeff