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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (25579)8/29/1998 9:36:00 AM
From: Gary R. Owens  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill,

Excellent point you may be the contrarians contrarian. Please wait until the rally then leave town right after I buy more puts <g>.

gary



To: William H Huebl who wrote (25579)8/29/1998 12:29:00 PM
From: RWS  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
On Friday I took a small initial position in Sept. SPX 1040 calls. I'm hoping for an opening dip Monday to add to my position. The reasons:

I think this shows that the VIX spike has ended in a spinning top candlestick reversal pattern and indicates market will go up.
pw1.netcom.com

On a 60 min chart, the EWave pattern from the July high is a classic zigzag pattern of abc with a and c containing 5 waves. This is a complete wave A correction which ended on Friday at 11:30. Here you can see that from the bottom came an five wave impulse wave which implies a much larger impulse wave B which can retrace 50-68% of the A wave down from mid July.

tscn.com

Lastly this chart questions the idea that we have a classic tilted head and shoulders pattern. Due to the increased volume on the right shoulder this pattern is suspect. The right shoulder should show decreased volume from head and left shoulder, but volume has been increasing.

asiachart.com

I am bearish and have made a bundle in puts the last few weeks. Those who think we're just going to drop on down aren't giving due consideration to the possibility of a very long bear market with a basically sawtooth pattern.

RWS