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Strategies & Market Trends : LastShadow's Position Trading -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ken Adams who wrote (65)8/29/1998 11:03:00 AM
From: Craig DeHaan  Respond to of 43080
 
Ken,

Nice analysis. A broader time perspective is presented at

stockmarketcycles.com

Here, Peter Eliades uses a cycle concept with A/D ratio calculations to create a "churning indicator". His studies/results suggest the possibility of a more radical outcome based on 60+ yrs of data.

Craig



To: Ken Adams who wrote (65)8/29/1998 12:12:00 PM
From: Les H  Respond to of 43080
 
I keep advance-decline on 1-week, 1-month (21-day), 1-quarter
(63-day), and 1-year (260-days) for stocks between $ 5 and $ 150 and
trading at least 40,000 shares.

Thursday Friday

5-day 7.7% 8.0%
21-day 10.1% 7.2%
63-day 14.7% 14.0%
260-day 36.6% 34.2%

These numbers will likely converge even as the market recovers since
many stocks peaked in March/April and the 260-day advance-decline
will likely continue to decline into early next Spring.

The percentage of stocks above moving averages are similar to yours:

10-day 6.0%
21-day 7.7%
50-day 5.8%
200-day 15.7%



To: Ken Adams who wrote (65)8/29/1998 12:21:00 PM
From: Karl Lewin  Respond to of 43080
 
Still another view.... (NYSE,Nasdaq,AMEX)

US Market Report - Market Cap Breakdown for: 08/28/1998

Market Cap. Mov Avg 200ma
P# Num Total Average %>5 %>20 %>200 %slp+ %slp- %adv %dec %unc nh nl
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
09 | 8 | 1445903.46 180737.93 | 0.00 0.25 0.75 | 1.00 0.00 | 0.00 1.00 0.00 | 0 0
08 | 13 | 1310145.93 100780.46 | 0.08 0.15 0.69 | 0.85 0.15 | 0.31 0.69 0.00 | 0 1
07 | 19 | 1268519.19 66764.17 | 0.16 0.37 0.53 | 0.84 0.16 | 0.32 0.68 0.00 | 0 1
06 | 28 | 1329948.84 47498.17 | 0.07 0.14 0.36 | 0.64 0.32 | 0.32 0.68 0.00 | 0 3
05 | 46 | 1350669.31 29362.38 | 0.07 0.15 0.30 | 0.70 0.30 | 0.52 0.46 0.02 | 0 6
04 | 72 | 1335790.19 18552.64 | 0.10 0.08 0.33 | 0.65 0.35 | 0.28 0.64 0.08 | 1 11
03 | 125 | 1330217.41 10641.74 | 0.11 0.16 0.38 | 0.51 0.48 | 0.35 0.60 0.05 | 3 19
02 | 229 | 1339267.96 5848.33 | 0.10 0.13 0.30 | 0.53 0.47 | 0.33 0.63 0.04 | 2 38
01 | 576 | 1337295.29 2321.69 | 0.08 0.11 0.26 | 0.44 0.56 | 0.26 0.64 0.11 | 2 126
00 | 6651 | 1338497.86 201.25 | 0.12 0.10 0.13 | 0.25 0.75 | 0.23 0.55 0.22 | 4 1381