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To: Rick Voteau who wrote (7407)8/29/1998 10:35:00 AM
From: im a survivor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10786
 
I hear what you are saying and I agree with much of it. I fully realize it is trading at less then 2 times next years estimates........all this means nothing. I could give you hundreds of examples of issues in the same boat........My point is, this baby is going down before it even thinks of going up ( not talking about a 1 or 2 day jump or dip )....the market will dictate that...we are in for more rough waters ahead. We may get a couple of good days, as there are no doubt plenty of bargains out there, but overall, the market will be in a downtrend for a little while before it rebounds. Alydar, and many other small caps suffer the worst in this environment. This is not my opinion, it is fact. When the market drops 1 or 2 %, alydar will drop 10% or more. Also, I hear what everybody says about the share price being a bargain, but there are alot of BIG NAME bargains that will get the money before the small caps like alydar. Do you have any idea how many big name people are under $10 a share right now. The investor is scared sh**less right now and the individual money will go into the big name issues. I am not knocking Alydar....I owned it before and will own it again, I am just pointing out facts. If right now I had $20k and had to put it into something, would I go with Alydar, or would I go with a proven company, in a large proven industry with an excellent track record. KEG, largest in the world in one of the largest industries in the world. This is a proven, big name co....with numbers that will knock your socks off and a business plan that is kick butt. A $30 - $50 stock, now trading around the same as Alydar. BJS+.....$72 not too long ago ...around $6 now. Oil sector has been creamed as well as market in general. Will oil bounce back ? For the last 50 years, it runs in the same high, low, high cycle........I could go on, but my point is people better wake up and realize that what the market is experiencing now, is something never before seen. Long term, sit tight and relax, but now, I would be careful as to where I put my money and at what prices I buy. Alydar at $7 range, with number of shares out there, will drop 10% very easily, with not a whole lot of shares sold....do the math. A stock that can drop so easily with limited selling, compared with todays market and etc, etc, etc........I would be very weary.
But enough is enough........best of luck to everybody. I hope, I and my charts are wrong. I am a BULL at heart and will stick with the market for life...........



To: Rick Voteau who wrote (7407)8/30/1998 9:19:00 AM
From: im a survivor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10786
 
Stan Druckenmiller On CNBC

" Breadth to me is a lagging indicator on an intermediate basis, it may not be on a long term basis. I think breadth deteriorated for 12 years before the last top and it did make a new high in April, so it's not inconceivable we could make another new high. I do think, unlike many others which want to buy small cap stocks they think are of good value, the rally will be led by the large caps and the small caps will suffer the greatest. "

I AM NOT KNOCKING ALYDAR....Just thought I'd post this in case yall missed it. Like most of the big boys, they are staying away from the small caps and going with the DELL's and the Coca Cola's.

Many of you I'm sure think I am probably shorting this stock or trying to keep it down so I can get back in. This could not be furthest from the truth. I simply look at it like this......Until individual investors start MAKING some money rather then LOSING money, the market will remain in this funk. Alydar, right now under current conditions is going to lose value in share price, which means we investors will lose money. I sincerely hope I am wrong and ALYD shoots back up above $10 - $15....I may have missed the boat on IT, but if the market corrects back upward, I will do well on all my other holdings, as will all investors. So, yes....I hope it shoots to the roof, but I, like most other people right now, need a little more on the table then just hope, and that is why the money will flow to the large caps......Too much money has been lost for most people to gamble on the ALYD's. If you've just been to vegas and lost 50% of your money, you'll do one of two things - You will try and get it all back by going with something a little riskier with higher odds, and most likely lose your A*S or you will bet on something safer with lower risk and better chance of recouping your losses, and most likey make the losses back in the long run........Ever notice that the stock market is just like vegas ?