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Strategies & Market Trends : Graham and Doddsville -- Value Investing In The New Era -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Boyd Hinds who wrote (698)8/30/1998 1:12:00 AM
From: Bob Rudd  Respond to of 1722
 
Boyd: Thanks for your thoughtful response. Regarding the ability of some small caps to cultivate a nitch and erect barriers to competition or compete more efficiently - When that occurs, it's great, but the overall small cap universe, especially in the more industrial 70's has been more subject to economies of scale issues. More recently, many tech stocks have turned this on it's ear thru nimbleness (Netscape) but economies of scale and market muscle still rule (MSFT). While there's a tendency to view the average small cap as an emerging growth story (Next MSFT) actually fallen angel is a better description. The average small cap, if there is such a thing, is IMO a once large company that hit a bad patch and became a "value" stock with significant warts. This again is where excess demand or constrained supply can work to turn the situation around and produce superior performance. We don't have excess demand today in most industries.

While more people have certainly become interested in the market and are picking stocks, I still believe research would show that most new fund coming to the market is intermediated thru mutual funds and pension/retirement plans. Some recent studies have even shown individuals as net sellers of stocks - thru mergers and buy outs.

On the other hand, access to information is much better today and I concur that an individual can outperform funds, especially if and when small caps have their day because the individual doesn't take as big a hit getting into and out of positions (easier and cheaper to get good fills on small orders) and they can short more effectively for the same reason.

Thanks again for your comments.

Respectfully,
Bob