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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (25663)8/30/1998 6:31:00 AM
From: William H Huebl  Respond to of 94695
 
Haim,

Well said on all points.

Dwight's links could be the good news to make sure we don't go in a straight line (down).

Bill



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (25663)8/30/1998 8:05:00 AM
From: Philipp  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
NTV/CNN report that the Russian major players have arrived at an agreement to "restore calm to the economy".

Chernomyrdin pledges "You can be calm. You will get your savings," (of course, in worthless, falling rubles).

This could be taken as a pretext for a rally, but I doubt that it would have any staying power. It is too transparent. We will see hyperinflation again within half a year.

I don't agree that the Russian economy can be stabilized by throwing more money at it. The Russian economy has to start at ground zero. It is fundamentally bankrupt like a post-war economy. The only difference is that Russia has a small super-rich elite ("oligarchs" an interesting new euphemism for "mafia bosses"). All political changes happen behind the scenes. They are frightening, but gradual and unlikely to lead to sudden disruptions. And a return of communism is not the real problem (that is just obsolete cold-war rhetoric).

Cheers,

Phil



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (25663)8/30/1998 12:24:00 PM
From: Gersh Avery  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
You may have forgotten Japan:

#reply-5624632

With bad loans totalling a stupendous 77 trillion yen ($927 billion) - although the real figure may be closer to 100 trillion - the banking system is close to collapse. And with Opposition MPs delaying in the Diet urgently needed economic reform bills, the situation is grave.

Gersh