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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kirk © who wrote (7392)	8/30/1998 9:18:00 PM
From: Joseph G.	Respond to of 42835

<<IF someone gives a credible argument against me being 100% invested, I darn well better give it serious consideration.>> Spent all night doing arithmetics -g- Suppose a stock, or index drops 70% peak to bottom, that means somebody who bot at top loses 70% of their money (not counting inflation, taxes, etc). Q: How much is loss if bot at 15% off the peak? A: 65% loss. Repeat for a 89% peak to bottom - A: 88% loss. Repeat for a 89% peak to bottom, if bot at 25% off peak. A: 85% loss Repeat for a 89% peak to bottom, if bot at 50% off peak. A: 78% loss Repeat for a 89% peak to bottom, if bot at 70% off peak. A: 63% loss Repeat for a 89% peak to bottom, if bot at 85% off peak. A: 27% loss