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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Suresh who wrote (17690)9/1/1998 3:59:00 AM
From: Johnny Canuck  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 69147
 
Hi Suresh,

You do bring up an interesting point. I don't know much
about international monetary policy, but I don't think a
central bank can print an unlimited amount of money
without causing a problem. It is true currencies are
no longer on the gold standard. As far as I can tell though
there is a gentleman's agreement by the central banks
to maintain currency exchange ranges within specifc
ranges in order to maintain stability. The exchange
rates are a reflection of a country's GDP, debt, and
preceived political and economic risk. So while it
is true that a country's currency is not backed by a specific
hard asset it is indirectly backed by the wealth of the country
and its people.

If you could expand the supply indefinitely you would have seen the
South American countries printing more money during the Latin
American crisis to buy their way out of their problems. Similarly,
you see the Fed buying back US dollars to restrict
supply and increase demand when the US dollar is under pressure.

Now is a country's exchange rate set by some formula like
taking the GDP numbers, discounting the amount of debt
and then dividing by the amount of currency in circulation (this
is a really simplistic example and not even based on fact),
I don't know? Maybe someone else can take this one.
It is a intersting point though, I don't know if there is a theoretical
limit to the amount of money a country can have in circulation
at one time.

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