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To: Matt Meagh who wrote (53234)8/31/1998 12:35:00 AM
From: Carmine Cammarosano  Respond to of 61433
 
A higher bond market means lower yields which will make bonds less attractive...however, a low yield may look good to those trying to make money in the stock market in the month of August...



To: Matt Meagh who wrote (53234)8/31/1998 12:53:00 AM
From: Tim Luke  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
there is only one safe haven and that is in the U.S. markets. ...Period



To: Matt Meagh who wrote (53234)8/31/1998 1:28:00 AM
From: Thomas M.  Respond to of 61433
 
2 schools of thought:

Consensus: Like you say, T-Bonds are the world's safe haven during the crises. This has been true for the past year, and continues to be.

Contrarian: Asians (particularly Japanese) begin to repatriate their holdings of T-Bonds to cover local losses. If Japan were to intiate true reforms and revive their economy, all the capital that has fled that country might finally come back home. Also, the new Eurodollar displaces the U.S. Dollar somewhat as the world's reserve currency, again driving down T-Bonds.

Tom