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Technology Stocks : Identix (IDNX) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: brad greene who wrote (10119)8/31/1998 3:25:00 PM
From: David  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 26039
 
Westergaard . . . Price break . . . .

First, the Westergaard hype on DDSI is more than DDSI is hyping itself. Look at the completely speculative figures DDSI provided Westergaard (relying on FBI approval and major market acceptance, each a long shot). Then look at the Westergaard discussion. It assumes higher revenues and greater net margins than even the corporate-provided hype.

As to SACM, even Westergaard can't say anything specifically nice. Just how impressive the stock price has been in relationship to reality. (In other words, how puffed up the stock has been compared to where it belongs.)

Well, you know by now how much respect I have for that operation.

* * *

The price break in IDX, if it means anything, is a reaction to the DBII announcement earlier today. Volume, however, is not amazingly high. This is all in the face of obvious strong revenues coming into IDX in the near future, way above and beyond analyst estimates. In other words, we will shoot past earnings estimates. Yet the stock trends, and breaks, down.

Overall, it has the psychological traits of a bear market stock. Down on speculation (DBII), not up on good, hard news. Just the opposite of a speculative blowoff (up on speculation, not down on bad news) -- but equally unrealistic.

The fundamentals on this company remain strong and getting stronger. It becomes a stronger long-term buy every day. And until I see a change in the fundamentals -- not just DDSI-level hype or DBII announcements of a product whose specs have not been provided -- IDX still looks like a great buy to me.



To: brad greene who wrote (10119)8/31/1998 6:17:00 PM
From: jean  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26039
 
Article on Ohio's work in progress. Jean

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