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To: goldsnow who wrote (17067)8/31/1998 7:27:00 PM
From: Alex  Respond to of 116814
 
No profits for me in gold. Not yet. But this global currency crisis is not going away in a hurry. It's not just Russia - it's the whole world. This has not fully played out yet IMHO.................

DOW PLUNGES 512; CORP BUYBACKS AWAITED; METZ SEES MORE LOSSES

ÿÿÿÿÿNEW YORK (MktNews) - The Dow Jones Industrials extended their dramatic six-week plummet Monday, plunging 512 points and setting the stage for steep losses in Asian and European equity markets, Market News International reported.

ÿÿÿÿÿThe Dow Jones Industrials, which set a record of 9,337.97 as recently as July 17, fell 512.61 to 7,539.07 or 6.37%. Among the milestones, the Dow broke 7,908, the closing level last year. New York Stock Exchange volume was an extremely heavy 914 million shares.

ÿÿÿÿÿBreadth continued to be dramatically negative, with decliners overwhelming advancers 2,869 to 400. The S&P 500 dropped 69.61 to 957.53 or 7.2%, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 140.46 to 1,499.22 or 8.5%, while the Russell 2000 fell 20.59 to 337.95 or 5.7%.

ÿÿÿÿÿAll DJIA components fell, with most posting losses with four, five and six handles.

ÿÿÿÿÿGlamor technologies led the drop, posting staggering losses across the board. Victims included Cisco down 12 13/16 at 81 7/8, Dell down 18 3/4 at 100, IBM down 9 7/8 at 112 11/16, Lucent down 10 1/16 at 70 15/16, Microsoft down 9 5/16 at 95 15/16, and Netscape down 5 7/16 at 18 1/16.

ÿÿÿÿÿDealers and analysts said the drop in technologies is an especially ominous signal, indicating investor revulsion with the market. "Investors are becoming disenchanted and looking to sell into any rallies," said Michael Metz, portfolio manager at Oppenheimer & Co.

ÿÿÿÿÿMetz, who has been a vocal bear for two years, said the pullback from July's record has plenty more to go. "I'd say we're only halfway through. We're still looking for a bottom."

ÿÿÿÿÿMichael Lyons, chief dealer at Dean Witter, said nerves on the NYSE are frayed and tempers short. "Nobody says anything good. If you have an order to sell, you just sell it and squeeze everybody further."

ÿÿÿÿÿLyons said NYSE specialists, who are responsible for smoothing declines in individual issues, have been taking substantial hits. "A year's worth of profits are gone, just like that."

ÿÿÿÿÿBut Larry Rice, chief strategist at Josephthal Lyon Ross, is hopeful. "We're in the final throes of this mini-panic. I have never seen the market this oversold."

ÿÿÿÿÿRice expects announcements of massive corporate share buybacks -- a key feature of the post-1987 recovery -- to begin on Tuesday. He also expects Wall Street to withstand any oversea panics, benefitting from those international funds and domestic hedge funds which still have cash on hand.

ÿÿÿÿÿFear that weakened demand in Asia will continue to depress profits remained the market's achilles' heel. Economic data on Monday confirmed the worries, as the Chicago purchasing management report showed sharp drops in regional manufacturing activity, while new home sales, despite low interest rates, fell a surprising 1.6%.

ÿÿÿÿÿStandard & Poor's cut Hong Kong's currency ratings and lowered its outlook to negative. China, which has yet to devalue the yuan, may be a next giant domino.

ÿÿÿÿÿ"It's not just Russia and Japan. It's also Latin America, Canada, China. The fundamentals are deteriorating," said Metz.

ÿÿÿÿÿUnfolding international news also weighed on stocks. In a defiant move, North Korea destabilized Asia further by launching a new longer-range ballistic missile over Japan itself.

ÿÿÿÿÿWorries of anarchy in Russia extended into a third week. The Duma, the lower chamber of Parliament, voted overwhelmingly not to confirm Viktor Chernomyrdin as prime minister. Yeltsin, who will begin a two-day meeting in Moscow with President Clinton on Tuesday, did not back down and quickly resubmitted his choice for nomination. --Mark Pender

16:39 EDT 08/31

c 1998 Market News Service, Inc.

economeister.com



To: goldsnow who wrote (17067)8/31/1998 7:40:00 PM
From: Alex  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116814
 
Profits in gold.................

Gold producers set
new output record

By Mark Dixon

The Australian gold industry overcame weak global prices and negative market sentiment towards the sector to post record production in the past year.

In doing so, the industry proved itself the most efficient in the world and has largely avoided the massive shutdowns and redundancies which have plagued the biggest producer, South Africa, and the second largest, North America.

Australian gold production rose 6 per cent last year to a record 318 tonnes, or 10.2 million ounces, according to a study released yesterday by the Melbourne-based mining consulting group, Surbiton Associates.

"Gold production on an annual basis has continued to rise," the managing director, Ms Sandra Close, said. "The industry is performing well despite the widespread negative market sentiment over the past year."

That sentiment took a further hammering on Friday as the global gold price plummeted to an 18-year low of $US276.50 an ounce on fears of widespread producer selling from South Africa, Australia and Canada. The slide was sparked by major hedge funds anticipating the sales, which were tipped in response to the commodity-based currencies of the countries being crushed on world markets.

Ironically, Ms Close said the slide in the Australian dollar had also been a major benefit, with $A gold prices averaging $470-$480/oz through the year and rising above $500/oz in the past week.

The industry was buoyed by major cost-cutting measures, with average weighted cash costs falling through the year to around $320/oz.

Surbiton, which tracks the Australian gold industry and produces a quarterly review that includes detailed costs and production levels, found that the Super Pit in Kalgoorlie-Boulder remained the nation's leading performer with annual production of 654,341 oz.

That firmly entrenched Normandy Ltd as the country's major gold house. Normandy owns half of the Super Pit operations, with Homestake, and also has attributable production from several other leading mines, including the Granites in the Northern Territory.

However, the emerging star was the Granny Smith operation near Laverton in Western Australia, which is owned by Placer Pacific (60 per cent) and Delta Gold. Granny Smith's output in 1997-98 was 551,255 oz, a 61 per cent increase that was largely due to the treatment of high-grade ore from the newly developed Sunrise pit.

Other top contributors reflected the new face of the gold industry, with the major companies now asserting their dominance and many of the juniors falling by the wayside. WMC Ltd's St Ives was the third-largest producer at 435,424 oz, despite several problems with its underground operations which are likely to see the company focus on developing big open-cut operations in the area.

Next were Newcrest Mining Ltd's Telfer (319,891 oz) and Great Central Mines' Jundee/Nimary (317,837 oz).

A breakdown of the year showed the December quarter to be the major contributor with an all-time record of 82.5 tonnes, with industry output falling to 79.2 tonnes in March and 77 tonnes in June.

Ms Close said there was no cause for concern over the reduced output in the past two quarters.

"The December quarter was outstanding. March is the shortest quarter of the year, while rain affected some operations in the June quarter," she said. Operations hit by rain included Chalice, New Celebration and Bronzewing. Ms Close said while there were always going to be swings and roundabouts in production, the current year promised to be "interesting".

"Newcrest's Cadia Hill and Homestake's Darlot Centenary will make significant contributions in the current year. Cost savings and the higher gold price in Australian dollar terms should underpin the industry," she said.
afr.com.au