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To: Doug who wrote (6296)9/1/1998 3:29:00 PM
From: Doug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18016
 
All: The following are some interesting observations on a sample of stocks during violent swings.

a: Down leg. Carnage percentage wise is relative to big Blue

Big Blue= 1, Big Cap 1.2, Mid Cap 1.6, Small Cap 2.4

Carnage always starts first with the Small caps about 3-4 weeks in advance of the Big Cap sell off.

b: Up leg: The recovery starts initially with the Big Blue and Big Cap. When they have recovered to first gap, the Mid cap follow. When
Big Cap and Mid Cap recover 50% of their total losses, small caps
recovery is started.

In brief, small caps lead the market by 3-4 weeks on the down leg and upto 4 weeks on the up leg. In market swings, the small caps pay a heavy price and therefore make very good down leg trading opportunities.