To: LWolf who wrote (63062 ) 9/2/1998 3:35:00 PM From: Jim Patterson Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 176388
re: The role of brokerage houses and brokers will be dramatically different in the next 5-7 years. Core portfolios will become self manageable. I am only responding to a small part of your post. You make a very good point. The broker makes his as long as the trades go through. But in the case cited, it was the clients ideas that created the losses. He did not know how fast leverage could work against him. That is what he did wrong. Now, Yes brokers and brokerage houses will change going forward. As for portfolios becoming self manageable.... As some of ya'll know, I am an Elliott Wave Guy. Bob Precter is the reigning guru for this type of analsys. In the early eighties, he wrote in his news letter: ' the last 16 years of sideways market action has produced a heard of great market traders. These traders will be ill prepared for the market move to come. At this point, (1983) the buy and hold strategy will work best.' The traders will have a hard time staying fully invested as they will want to trade every rally, but not getting the pullback to er-enter their favorite ideas. Since 1983, much has changed. Today, (1998) I think the time of the buy and hold strategy is now behind us. Once again, all of the great money runners, the masters of the buy and hold strategy will find themselves ill prepared for the upcoming market action. If I am right on this, then your concept of a self managing core portfolio will never come to pass. The average guy, despite the resources the I-Net provides, will not do well, as he still has a day job, and trading is a full time occupation. Good Day. Jim