To: Hungry Investor who wrote (1917 ) 9/3/1998 9:52:00 AM From: Katherine Derbyshire Respond to of 3458
>> 1) I can't remember who made the silly point about KLA-Tencor having only twice the stock as Turbodyne, but that is the most ridiculous point I have seen yet. I'm sure that neither KLA or Tencor went through a heavy reverse split prior to doing an offering. Oh wait, both did. Most companies do prior to becoming public. There are many examples of companies out there that have more stock outstanding that TRBD (and have a smaller market cap). I agree that there has been significant dilution. << Since it was my "silly point," I should probably make it a little bit clearer. The more shares outstanding there are, the more the company has to earn in absolute dollars in order to earn a reasonable amount per share. Since earnings per share is what ultimately drives the stock price, I don't especially care where the shares came from. KLA-Tencor (KLAC, picked out of thin air because I happen to be familiar with them and they happen to have almost exactly twice as many shares, which makes the math easy) earned about $1.50 per share (about 86 million shares outstanding) on about $900 million in revenue for the 9 months ending 3/30/98, or roughly $300 million per quarter. TRBD had about $10 million in revenue for the quarter ending 3/30/98, and reported a loss. My point was that, even assuming TRBD can achieve the same 11.5% profit margin that KLAC does, with 43 million shares outstanding they would need about $150 million in revenue per quarter in order to turn in a reasonable profit per share. That's 15 times their current revenue, assuming no further dilution. That's a whole lot of turbo gizmos. (That also assumes a pretty decent profit margin, but I'll give TRBD the benefit of the doubt.) (I'm not setting a terribly high bar here, either. The semi equipment industry, KLAC's market, is having a dreadful year, and, like most high tech companies, KLAC isn't shy about awarding options to key employees.) >> The term "development stage" is not a SEC term, nor was it ever. Its actually a term used by accountants to describe a company that is in the process of creating its product, that has no sales, and that probably doesn't have a sales and marketing function. The term actually relates to a set of presentations in the financial statements (definitely an accounting term). See it how you'd like, but Turbodyne is not a development stage company.<< This was also one of my points. I know that development stage is not an SEC term, and said so in my post. In case you missed the sarcasm, I was implying that TRBD is using the "development stage company" description as an excuse for its poor performance. If they aren't a development stage company, then what's their excuse? Katherine