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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bull RidaH who wrote (26315)	9/3/1998 2:09:00 AM
From: Follies	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Anyone know of a good web site for a pre-announcement calendar? That could be helpful.

To: Bull RidaH who wrote (26315)	9/3/1998 2:22:00 AM
From: Death Sphincter	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

David....and I have made $$$$ on what turned out to be the wrong count--ggg duration is nice and especially when it is a bookend including price............ speaking of bookends...nice bookend for cycle 1 and 5...5 years and 250%+ vs 1 year and about 30%.......and if you look at cycle I....the 3rd wave, if it started from a truncated 5th at 1733 and ran to 2800 is shorter %wise than 1 or 5............ all the other stuff about PE, rotation, etc. is valid...but irrelevant to EW...........and further on duration...if cycle 2 (1994) lasted 1 year...why was cycle 4 only 3months..Aug-Oct...........actually the 87 crash also lasted from Aug-Oct...which would make a nice duration match-up with and argument for last fall being cycle 4 carl

To: Bull RidaH who wrote (26315)	9/3/1998 9:17:00 AM
From: bobby beara	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Hi David, can you make a five wave topping count here with the last move being and 5 wave bearish rising wedge? Thanks. digisys.net When it finally settles at the bottom... It sure will be peaceful!! Like it is/was at granddad's/grandmaw's. Nobody's in a hurry. Could be the best experience many have ever gone through, bringing people back together and helping them focus on what really matters. : - )

To: Bull RidaH who wrote (26315)	9/3/1998 10:55:00 AM
From: edward miller	Respond to of 94695

David, Although this may have nothing to do with EW, allow me to expand on this. > What's hidden in the '94 numbers is the fact that that > correction was sector rotational in nature. Sure, the > senior indices only fell 10 to 15%, but you'd be hard > pressed to find a stock during that time that didn't > have a decline of 30 to 40% or greater, making its > actual effect on individual stock holders just as > devastating as the '87 episode... Since 1994 we have been in a large cap market, so one could argue that the first hints of a coming bear go all the way back to 1994-1995. The redistribution of funds within the market of stocks has been disturbing for years. The distribution pattern for stocks, based on the A/D line has taken many months to develop fully. During this time frame I had substantial funds managed by a firm which specializes in trading small caps for large short term gains, so I know how things have been. We were doing well, even in 1994. However, after the rolling correction finished the last broad rally in small caps was into summer 1995. Even though indexes have risen since then, the breadth has been weakening, and my managed money has underperformed since 1995. This points to a major, long term trend reversal due to the lack of sustainable growth in large numbers of smaller stocks. If future growth was really there, then the smart money would have stayed in small caps. The smart money is usually gone LONG before trouble begins. Ed Miller