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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LemurHouse who wrote (63441)9/3/1998 12:50:00 PM
From: David Harker  Respond to of 176388
 
Andrew, yes, "Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits" is a fantastic
book, I'm reading it now. Phillip Fisher strongly favors a long-
term, buy and hold approach, predicated on LOTS of up-front
research to find REALLY HIGH QUALITY, CONSISTENTLY GROWING companies.

When he describes his 15 characteristics of these super-rare,
buy-and-hold-forever investments, it sounds like he is describing
DELL. He wasn't, since he wrote it in 1958. (He started
investing professionally in 1928, and wrote a 2nd book in 1975).
His son, Ken Fisher, is a columnist in Forbes magazine.

He particularly stresses that trying to sell when you think
your dream stock is too high, so you can buy it back again at a
lower price, is dumb. He argues that a positive outcome from
holding the stock long-term is very likely to occur
(due to your research) and that buying it back cheaper (after
selling) is much less likely to occur, since NO ONE can predict
short-term future events. In other words, the numerical
probability of a stock like DELL being higher in 3-5 years is much
higher than the numerical probability that you will sell DELL at
a high price and then actually buy it back at a lower price, so
don't do it - just hold it! He also points out the tax problems
of the sell/buy-back approach.

LOTS of great, classic investment wisdom in this book!