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To: Kathleen capps who wrote (38087)9/3/1998 12:53:00 PM
From: yousef hashmi  Respond to of 53903
 
DOW JONES 90-DAY NEWS/RETRIEVAL Int'l News & Research Services
Sequence Number : 3957 Story Date : 98/09/03

1 12:28*T =Tech Stks -2: Intel, Micron Buck Semiconductor Trend >INTC

As the lunch hour approached, the Nasdaq Computer Index was down 6.26 points
to 760, followed by a 6.02-point drop in the Morgan Stanley Hi-Tech 35, which
was trading at 514.80.
"Every time the market sneezes, (tech stocks) catch a cold," said Michael
Geran, an analyst for the Pershing division of Donaldson Lufkin & Jenrette
Securities Corp. "The market opened weak because of the international
situation. The reaction of day traders is to avoid these stocks."
Internet stocks, whose performance have to a large degree followed the
market's topsy-turvy whims lately, appeared to be hit the hardest, with some
companies losing as much as 7% of their value in the first hour of trading.
Web bellwether Yahoo3 Inc. (YHOO) was trading at 75 1/4, down 2 1/2, or 3.2%,
while Doubleclick Inc. (DCLK), a Web advertising firm, fell 1 7/16, or 5.6%, to
24 3/8. Book retailer Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) fell 1, or 1.1%, to 86 7/8.
"Largely, they are the tail being wagged by the dog," said Derek Brown, an
analyst with Volpe Brown & Whelan Co. "To a large degree, Internet stocks'
performance have followed the market up or down."
Also continuing a downward slide was the Philadelphia Exchange's
Semiconductor Index, which was down Thursday 38% from the year high of 330.6
recorded in February.
The index was trading at 203.18, down less than one point.
Nevertheless, semiconductor giant Intel was trading up 3 3/8, or 4.5%, to 78
1/4, a move attributed to Morgan Stanley Dean Witter's upping its earnings
forecast and the overall improvement among PC manufacturers.
On the other hand. Micron's uptick in late morning trading was credited to
the dwindling fortunes of Japanese and Korean DRAM makers. The shares were
recently up 1 11/16, or 7%, to 25 5/8.
"It will ultimately make Micron very profitable," Wu, of ABN AMRO, said.
(MORE) DOW JONES NEWS 09-03-98
12:28 PM



To: Kathleen capps who wrote (38087)9/3/1998 1:05:00 PM
From: Thomas G. Busillo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
Kathleen, it happens to everyone. The similarities between last
year's price action around the Robbie Stephens (ssshh...don't tell
anyone, but they have been one of MU's underwriters) conference and
this year's is somewhat curious.

Here's an updated version of the previous observation made a few
weeks ago (https://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=5427601)

MU
late-July/August/Sept

1997 1998
conference Robbie Stephens Robbie Stephens

Message: Demand is up; Demand is up;
prices are up. prices are up.

pre-conf. price: 45 27

Dow Jones article
featuring Dan Niles
talking about strength
in DRAMs?: yes yes

post-conf. peak: 60 36 7/16
percentage change: +33% +34.9%

unexpected event: industrial-strength Kurlaking Russia unravelling

Niles reaction?: reiteration ups to Strong Buy

Sept. monthly low: 34 3/8 20 9/16
% change from peak: -42.7% -32.4%
% from pre-conf. level: -23.6% -23.8%

That's a little too freaky!

Good trading,

Tom