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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (42)	9/3/1998 4:27:00 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10663

Interesting. What time frame (weekly, monthly, ...) do you use for the charts? I'll check my charts on Wednsday when I get back to NYC. At first I thought may be you are talking about the business cycle or the presidential cycle or... (so many cycles so little time :) Have you managed to tie this pattern to any real world event? ST

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (42)	9/3/1998 10:20:00 PM
From: Wren	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10663

Ground Zero, your nine year cycles seem to be almost the same as the cycles of the Princton Economic Institute Economic Confidence Model. Since WWII they have had major peaks at 1946.95, 1955.55, 1964.15, 1972.75, 1981.35, 1989.98, and have predicted 1998.55 as the peak of the current cycle. Recent major bottoms have been 1977.05, 1985.65, 1994.20, and they predict 2002.85 as the next major bottom. Each of their cycles has two minor peaks and two minor bottoms. There is a lot of free information at www.pei-intl.com. They publish The World Capital Market review and will send you a free copy to see if you wish to subscribe. I have found their site interesting and helpful in making decisions.