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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: H James Morris who wrote (16070)9/4/1998 10:55:00 AM
From: OtherChap  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
The people behind Amazon will do anything to keep you from shorting it. First of all, most brokerages never have shares, at one point the stock was declared "unshortable" by the SEC.

Now, there are literally 25 dollar premiums on all the puts. Not like last week when it was around 12 dollars.

The earlier poster was correct, now that the MMs see that everyone is making a killing on puts they're doing all they can to make sure nobody makes a profit there either.

The only problem is they can't find anyone to actually buy the shares, so the stock just sits there. No profit for anyone anymore.

Having said that, I think a lot of people are going to bail from this stock in advance of the three day weekend.. Should see a 50-100 point sucker rally on the dow around lunchtime, then a quick and sharp selloff into the close as daytraders liquidate their positions.

One last thing, I am absolutely positive that the reason your average retail investor (web trader) buys this stock is because everyone "thinks" amazon is actually making money. I asked several of my computer-geek friends this weekend if they had heard of Amazon, and they ALL said "Yeah, its the one internet company that is making incredible profits."

It's almost an urban legend among idiots who can't read quarterly reports- and THAT is where the retail support comes from.



To: H James Morris who wrote (16070)9/4/1998 10:56:00 AM
From: llamaphlegm  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
BIG BLUE AND WALL
STREET TOO

By Peter D. Henig
Red Herring Online
September 3, 1998

Is this the best market for analysts to be recommending
stocks? It is if one of the stocks is a large-cap, 3-letter,
tech-bellwether-to-be, and the rest are a fun group of
Internet stocks any surfer would love.

IBM (IBM) picked up some nice new coverage from the
Street as both Paine Webber and J.P. Morgan Securities
started the computer giant with Buy recommendations,
while a whole mess of analysts still can't keep their paws
off Internet stocks.

E-bull
"Guilty as charged," said Daniel Kunstler of J.P. Morgan
Securities, when asked if he was the analyst who recently
chose to rate Big Blue a Buy.

Mr. Kunstler joined his colleague-in-arms, Don Young
of Paine Webber, in initiating coverage of Big Blue on
the basis of earnings consistency, large-cap status, and
plain, old-fashioned valuation.

"It's a name investors should gravitate toward," said Mr.
Kunstler. He granted that the market still remains gloomy
and will likely continue to be so, "even after its two-day
suckers rally."

"Investing in IBM is not so much a flight to quality," said
Mr. Kunstler. "It's more of a flight to earnings
consistency, if you will."

Indeed, these analysts may be on to something. On a day
when the market confirmed that it simply can't hold its
head above water -- the Dow Jones Industrial Average
closed at 7682.22, down 100.15, while the Nasdaq
settled at 1571.86, off 20.99 -- shares of IBM were up
1.25 to 121.75.

In fact, according to Mr. Kunstler, at current price levels
IBM is quite the "bargain."

A bargain? In this market? Wait, who let Abby Joseph
Cohen into the room?

"It's regaining its status as a bellwether in technology
again," said Mr. Kunstler.

The analyst states that on a price-to-earnings and
price-to-sales basis, investors have actually given Big
Blue no credit for future growth. And when measured
against its peers in each of its various industry categories,
IBM is actually valued at the low end of each peer group
on a price-to-earnings basis.

More than that, Mr. Kunstler is adamant that IBM's
share-repurchase program is, and will continue to be, "a
great thing for its stock price as it translates strong cash
flow into earnings enhancements."

Upgrading everybody
Yet, IBM wasn't the only one lucky enough draw some
positive karma from the Street, even in these jarring and
volatile market conditions.

Mr. Young with Paine Webber started a whole slew of
computer companies with Buy recommendations,
including Hewlett-Packard (HWP), Compaq (CPQ),
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) Unisys (UIS), Data General
(DGN), and Micron Electronics (MU). The analyst also
picked up coverage of Dell (DELL) with an Attractive
rating, and Gateway (GTW) and Apple (AAPL) with
Neutrals.

And if you think that's special, you'll be amazed to learn
that, even as the market was luring investors further into
a sucker's rally on Tuesday and Wednesday, a whole
other gang of Wall Street analysts was jumping back into
Internet stocks as if this were the last chance to buy.

Hambrecht & Quist and Everen Securities each raised
their ratings on AOL (AOL) to Strong Buy and
Intermediate-term Outperformer, while Warburg Dillon
Read picked up coverage of Lycos (LCOS), Excite
(XCIT), and Yahoo (YHOO), each with a Buy
recommendation, and Netscape (NSCP) with a Strong
Buy; Infoseek (SEEK) was started with a lowly hold.

Still in shock? There's more. Everen Securities also
upgraded Amazon.com (AMZN), Earthlink (ELNK),
and Cisco (CSCO) to Intermediate-term Outperformer,
while Robinson Humphrey bumped up Mindspring
(MSPG) to Short-term Strong Buy.

Will they ever learn?



To: H James Morris who wrote (16070)9/4/1998 12:34:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 

Glen<I have never had so much a problem with a stock.>
Glen I don't think of Amzn as a stock. I think of it as a concept.
A very expensive one at that.


James,

I stand corrected and agree. The most expenive in my life.

Glenn