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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MileHigh who wrote (23823)9/5/1998 10:16:00 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 70976
 
mile high, au contrare. EVERYONE with fabs sitting idle will also open them up. read - lots of capacity increase all at once. i'll let your understanding of basic supply/demand economics guide you from here.



To: MileHigh who wrote (23823)9/5/1998 2:07:00 PM
From: Big Bucks  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
High,

Re:" btw, any closed fabs - like siemens - can be opened any time, and will once profits come back online.

That precisely my point, at least they will see profits instead of losses!"


Exactly the reason that "available" excess capacity will continue to
keep chip prices down and suppress major new fab expansion and equipment sales for 1-2+ years, IMHO. Profits will be highest in new
niche products that have little/no competition. It seems that smaller
chip companies that have specialty/proprietary chip designs will
outperform some of the major producers over the short/mid term.

Just my opinion,
BB