Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (26738)	9/7/1998 9:13:00 AM
From: Monty Lenard	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Hi Bill, I heard someone the other day on this thread mention Zweig. I pulled his book from my library this morning and was re-reading some of his "indicators". Here is the 3 things he says virtually guarantees a bear market: 1) Extreme Deflation 2) Ultra High P/E's 3) Inverted Yield Curve He elaborates on how he calc's these but generally, we have had all 3 in place (not sure about the extreme deflation---yet). The inverted yield curve had been in place but don't know if that is still true. The other interesting observation he had is that there are 2 holidays that historically extremely bullish(more than any of the others): 1) New Years and 2) Labor Day Now, how do we view Friday's activity: 1) Bullish since it rallied from being down 180+ DOW points, or 2) Bearish since it closed down rather than up? Monty PS Is there a link where the yield curve is displayed without taxing this very tired brain?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (26738)	9/7/1998 8:20:00 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Bill, I agree with you, this is why I'm comfortable with this thread and the gang that hangs around it. So, here's my plan. I will let the coming rally fizzle out and wait for a retest of these recent lows in a few weeks. If my indicators give a buy signal at that that time, I will be buying for the next bull market, which I suspect might begin sometime within the next two or three quarters. Of course, the above is subject to change if/when the fancy strikes me. Enjoy. GZ