To: jimpit who wrote (4078 ) 9/7/1998 12:46:00 PM From: Zoltan! Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13994
Clinton falls from favor in mid-America Monday, September 7, 1998 By Jo Mannies Post-Dispatch Political Correspondent In Missouri and Illinois, which helped put President Bill Clinton in the White House, many now want him in the doghouse. In Missouri, a poll of likely voters showed that 49.6 percent hold an "unfavorable" impression of the president. In Illinois, 45.5 percent hold an "unfavorable" impression of him. The poll conducted for the Post-Dispatch and KMOV (Channel 4) found 47.3 percent in Missouri and 50.7 percent in Illinois who report a "favorable" impression of Clinton. "The heartland is moving away," said pollster John Zogby, whose firm conducted the poll. "The president is in unprecedented hot water." Mark Burnett of Oakville is a former supporter who now is turned off - and wants Clinton turned out. "It's his continuous scandals," said Burnett, 31. The issue, Burnett added, is more than the president's ac-knowledged relationship with a former White House intern. Rather, it's the various allegations of illegal activity, from Whitewater to the 1996 presidential campaign. Such disaffections are troubling for Clinton, said Zogby, because Missouri and Illinois are bellwether states that often are harbingers of national trends. Clinton carried both states in 1992 and 1996. In Missouri, 616 likely voters were polled on Aug. 31 and Sept. 1. The Illinois poll of 726 likely voters was conducted on Aug. 31 and Sept. 2. The margin of error in each poll is 4 percent, meaning any of the results could vary by 4 percentage points either way. Those polled were offered four main choices to describe their view of the president: "very favorable," "somewhat favorable," "somewhat unfavorable" and "very unfavorable." Of those who voted for Clinton in 1996, 14.3 percent in Missouri and 17.6 percent in Illinois reported now holding "unfavorable" impressions of him. His harshest critics had backed Republican Bob Dole or Reform Party candidate Ross Perot in 1996. Of the Dole voters, 86.9 percent in Missouri and 85.7 percent in Illinois now hold unfavorable views of Clinton. For Perot's allies, the same is true for 70.3 percent in Missouri and 49.1 in Illinois. Other numbers offered a hint at why Clinton may be in trouble. In both states, six of every 10 persons polled said that "integrity of public officials" was "very important." "I do not believe he's an honest president," said one of those polled, Betty Branson of Washington, Mo. But she added that she opposed impeachment: "That's not in our country's best interest." Both polls offered warnings for the two states' Democratic candidates for the U.S. Senate: incumbent Carol Moseley-Braun in Illinois and Missouri Attorney General Jay Nixon. In Missouri, 41.2 percent of those polled said they'd be "less likely" to vote for Nixon if he "voices strong support" for Clinton. In Illinois, 32.8 percent said the same thing about Moseley-Braun. Clinton's negative numbers in Missouri even beat those of House Speaker Newt Gingrich, a controversial Republican who long has attracted low ratings in polls. In Illinois, Gingrich barely edged out the president as the most unpopular politician in the poll. The numbers could bode ill for Democrats seeking to retake the U.S. House, Zogby said. In Missouri, those polled were split on which party they preferred in control: 43.2 percent picked the GOP; 40.5 favored the Democrats. An additional 16.2 percent weren't sure. In Illinois, voters preferred a Democratic-controlled House, 46.1 percent, while 38.2 percent planned to vote for Republicans. The remaining 15.7 percent were undecided. House Minority Leader Richard Gephardt, D-south St. Louis County, is seeking to replace Gingrich as speaker and is touted as a likely presidential candidate in 2000. While 54 percent of Missouri voters hold a favorable impression of Gephardt, more than one in four - 28.6 percent - have an unfavorable view of him. In Illinois, fewer hold a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gephardt. But 42.7 percent don't know much about him - which Gephardt will have to correct if he wants to have any chance for the White House in 2000. stlnet.com