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To: MonsieurGonzo who wrote (3839)	9/8/1998 9:42:00 PM
From: Gersh Avery	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 11051

I've been figuring that the drop in the dollar would be the trigger for the end of this cycle. Yen drops from 145 to 129 .. so the Japanese investor in the US stock market has seen a 20% drop in DJIA points and an 11% drop in the value of the points .. the ones who are invested in the US are the survivors of their bubble. Did you check out that link? #reply-5689998 I made a mistake, their projection is for the bottom of this cycle to be in the year 2002. These folks do a nice job in taking into account nation rotation. The top @ 125? .. I remember you said that the top would be ~128 and not hold for long .. I respect your view very much and will be watching this point very very closely. If the Princeton projections fall into place I would expect to see ~80, but it may take a long time to get there. Gersh BTW globex just went red.