To: tero kuittinen who wrote (14748 ) 9/9/1998 4:32:00 PM From: Maurice Winn Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
Tero, in New Zealand, we have no charge at all for off peak rates! That includes calls all over the country. But the same as in the UK, and perhaps Finland, these free or very cheap off peak rates reflect a lack of demand and an attempt to boost the money making daytime calls. The total package needs to be added up. Not just the handset or the free off peak minutes. Include the total costs, including infrastructure. CDMA wins and that's why 3G is going to be CDMA not lots of GSM glued together. You should be aware that GSM was selected in New Zealand, Australia and elsewhere nearly a decade ago because that was all there was to select. cdmaOne has only become an option in the past year or two. GSM has improved its efficiency, and while GSM-1800 might be very competitive, cdmaOne hasn't finished development yet. With prices coming down, people will flock to cellular instead of wireline, then it is really going to be fun. You said: "Here's the crux: there is no erosion in GSM sales growth in countries where the two coexist. Hong Kong is showing the lesson..." Hong Kong is not such a good example. They put in a crusty old Motorola system in 1995. The world has moved on. Check out the USA. I think that is one of the few places where there is real free market war between the competing standards. cdmaOne is doing very nicely there. With electronic, chip and other New Paradigm prices continuing to decrease quickly with funtionality increase, both GSM and cdmaOne are going to become much cheaper. If they can avoid the monster cell sites, which have engineering and other costs, then both could become very, very, cheap. But I believe those who say that the capacity of CDMA is inherently greater than TDMA systems. I think everyone says that, though there is dispute on the extent of the advantage. There are some other CDMA advantages too. So CDMA will increase the advantage as the technology matures. I wouldn't be a wireline shareholder for all the tea in China. Mqurice