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Technology Stocks : Y2K (Year 2000) Stocks: An Investment Discussion -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ayahuasca who wrote (12848)9/10/1998 8:32:00 AM
From: paul e thomas  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13949
 
The investment analysis is fundamentally sound. It echoes my own belief that to invest in companies today with significant Y2K business you must have a strong platform for believing that these firms have a very sound premise for their post 2000 business. Some companies like SYNT have only less than 20% of their present business in Y2K related revenues.On the other extreme IMRS has over 50% at present.In the case of IMRS I am betting on two basis premises .One is that there will be a continuing major ongoing world wide demand for IT services.Secondly IMRS has the strongest competitive position and has a truly visionary CEO.



To: ayahuasca who wrote (12848)9/10/1998 9:36:00 AM
From: Hoatzin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13949
 
I'm going to print that one out and keep it in my Y2K folder, it might be interesting reading in a year or so. It is certainly amusing to see the headline "The End of Y2K Investing" even as many "Y2K's" are making nice base formations on the charts.

(I don't read briefing.com's analysis of anything, but I do have a copy of a briefing.com article dated October 23, 1997 about Bob Bemer, with the following remarkable predictions: "BMR threatens to change the business model of the entire Y2K industry. Although it only works on IBM COBOL systems, that is the largest segment of the Y2K market. Because it is so easy to install and test, and remove if it doesn't work, any large company is likely to at least try BMR on some portion of their system. If it works, and the code becomes Y2K compliant in less than a month, BMR is likely to squeeze out every other vendor." Made me laugh then, makes me laugh now.)

I do agree with the author here:
"Y2K investing was dominated by emotional reactions throughout most of 1997, which drove them to incredible expectations. But as the expectations were not realized, and the timeline drew nearer, investors lost faith in 1998."

The Y2K "sector" (if there is such a thing) that was once so hot, is now un-sexy and out of favor. As Paul noted, the SI threads are now very quiet for the most part, and I have seen more than one post where the author wishes "he had never heard of Y2K".

So when briefing says "But Briefing won't again be writing about the Year 2000 problem as an investment idea. That era is over." I conclude that the reward in buying some of these beaten down Y2K's (like VIAS, ALYD, PTUS, SEEC) might outweigh the risk here.

Kevin