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To: Lucretius who wrote (64679)9/10/1998 11:46:00 AM
From: Tumbleweed  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176388
 
Who posted yesterday that PC sales were falling?

I remember it was from a comment by an HP exec.

here's a contradictory point of view.

Global PC sales
rebounding
By Stephanie Miles
Staff Writer, CNET News.com
September 9, 1998, 12:40 p.m. PT

Global PC sales are on the rebound despite
worldwide economic uncertainties, with iMac
frenzy expected to double Apple's shipments while
Dell continues to gain ground, according to a new
report.

Woldwide sales grew 11 percent last quarter, and
are expected to grow 12.2 percent for the second
half of 1998, with strong U.S. and European
growth outweighing Asian and Russian instability.

Most vendors have
resolved the inventory
gluts which led to
fire-sale prices and
shrinking margins in the
first half of the year,
according to market
research firm
International Data
Corporation. Despite
ongoing currency
problems in Asian and
more recently Eastern
European markets, unit
volumes and profit
margins appear to be
stabilizing.

"It's warming up, relative to what was happening in
the first half of the year. There's still some
negatives
in Asia and Russia, but that's a relatively small
amount of worldwide sales," said Bruce Stephen,
an IDC analyst.

Also, while not breaking into the top five vendors
yet, the most improved player of the second half of
1998 goes to Apple, according to IDC, as the
momentum of the recently released iMac boosts
sales figures for the second half of the year.

"IDC believes that in Quarter 3 they will have the
greatest share gain of anybody--including Dell--in
terms of percentages," said Roger Kay, another
IDC analyst. "They could double their shipments,"
because of iMac demand.

Although still seventh in U.S. and worldwide sales,
Kay predicts that the iMac will propel Apple into
the top five in the U.S., and possible worldwide,
next quarter.

"There's very little cannibalism likely--the iMac
doesn't really pitch to same market as its [G3
computers], so it is all additional business for
them."

Compaq, whose bloated inventory levels led to
pricing cuts which reverberated throughout the
industry, was number one worldwide and in the
U.S., in terms of units shipped, Stephen said. "We
think they'll get stronger, now that they've cleared
up the inventory logjam which was disrupting their
flow of business and led to radical pricing actions.
We think they're coming back stronger."

Compaq continues to face challenges from direct
seller Dell, who has managed to resist getting mired
in the sub-$1,000 price wars, posting more than 70
percent growth in unit shipments, year over year.
"Dell still has tremendous momentum," Stephen
noted. "They're kind of in a zone unto themselves."

Hewlett-Packard also posted strong numbers, with
almost 20 percent growth for the second half of
1998, fueled by momentum in the commercial
market, Stephen said. The market wasn't rosy for
every vendor, though. IBM slipped 4.1 percent,
losing ground in the business market to Dell.
Packard Bell NEC continued its downward spiral,
posting negative 8 percent growth.