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To: Enigma who wrote (18346)9/10/1998 12:14:00 PM
From: long-gone  Respond to of 116795
 
Quick anyone or all,
What is this greater US stock market worth? What would be the value of 5% of it? How much would everything be on a split of 75% to XAU 5% to Jr's and rest to bullion?
rh



To: Enigma who wrote (18346)9/10/1998 1:08:00 PM
From: CIMA  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116795
 
Good morning to you all. After a record gain of 380 points on Tuesday, the
Dow Jones dropped 155 points on Wednesday and is now off 225 points in the
first hour of trading on Thursday.

The reasons, in point form, are as follows:

- Strong possibility of impeachment proceedings relating to President Clinton

- Dissapointing profit announcements by companies

- Quarterly trade deficit at a new high. The Commerce Dept. announced this
morning the current account deficit rose from 46.7 Billion in the first
quarter to 56.5 Billion in the second quarter. Thus, putting the nation on
track to register a deficit of $200 Billion + in 1998. This would be the
worst performance in history. To put it into perspective, the 1997 current
account deficit was $155 Billion.

These last two points are completely in line with our projections made over
the last 11 months. Specifically, we have stated on several occasions
"with the global economy going into recession and their currencies
devaluing, who will be left to purchase US goods?".

Pursuant to this opinion, we continue to conclude that very little
fundamental value exists in equity markets today, especially US markets.
The fact of the matter is that major global economies and regions are in
trouble and their problems can not be solved overnight. It took several
years of poor credit management to reach this point and it will take some
time to correct it.

We continue to remain very defensive in our portfolio.

Pursuant to possible impeachment proceedings in the US, gold is now up
$6.50 on the October Comex Gold. To elaborate, gold is now the beneficiary
of decreasing confidence in the US dollar, brought about by the strong
possibility of impeachment proceedings, as well as, Alan Greenspan's
comments the Federal Reserve Board is leaning towards an interest rate cut.

We had expected gold to move yesterday, soon after the announcement of a
bi-partisan investigation into impeachment options. However, the Japanese
central bank announced a small cut to interest rates, which led to more
Asian money flowing into US dollar denominated securities.

It now appears money is flowing out of the US dollar and into gold, at
least until the full contents of Ken Starr's report are released.

Secondly, the TED spread, the difference between 90-day T-Bills and the
Eurodollar, is now up to .78. It is a generally accepted principal that a
spread of .80 or higher is an indication of global economic concern. For
our new subscribers, a bulletin explaining the TED spread was broadcast in
July. If you need a copy for your records, kindly forward a request and we
will send it directly.

We will keep you updated.

Regards,
Agora.

The Investor's Investor. Published by Agora International Enterprises Corp.

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