To: Alex who wrote (18439 ) 9/11/1998 1:47:00 AM From: Sergio R. Mejia Respond to of 116753
Global markets get d‚j… vu blues Latin America and Clinton's increasing woes spur major losses worldwide - Gold and gold stocks shine again on weaker US$ - Cameco gives up on gold project in Uzbekistan By DAVID THOMAS Economics Reporter The Financial Post Worldwide, stocks were clobbered yesterday, as panicked investors stampeded out of Latin American markets and a dimming profit outlook weighed on exchanges in North America and Europe. A bounce in the price of gold boosted gold shares by 8.7% in Toronto, minimizing the damage to the Toronto Stock Exchange 300 composite index. It lost 75.01 points, or 1.28%. Elsewhere, the day's losses ranged from bad to disastrous as investors dumped equities and piled into the relative safety of bonds. The Canadian bond market had a banner day, with the 30-year government bond enjoying its largest one-day advance ever. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 249.48 points, or 3.17%, to wipe out most of Tuesday's huge 380.53-point gain and leave it just 76 points above its 1998 low on Aug. 31. "Concern that President [Bill] Clinton may face impeachment hearings is adding to the long list of troubles for the market," said Hildegard Zagorski, market analyst with Prudential Securities Inc. That long list includes the spread of financial strains from Asia to other emerging markets and the associated threat to western banks of exposure to risky debt. The risks of a currency devaluation and economic collapse were behind a 15.8% one-day collapse in the Bovespa stock index in Brazil. The index has lost more than 55% since the end of July and the mood darkened yesterday after Standard & Poor's Corp. warned it may cut the country's credit rating. Pain is also being felt in other Latin American markets, including Mexico, where the bolsa index tumbled 9.8% yesterday and is off nearly 40% since mid-July. European exchanges were also caught in the crossfire, with stock indexes falling as much as 7% in Madrid because of Spain's financial ties to Latin America. Other European markets took major hits, with indexes in Frankfurt and Paris dropping 4.3% and 4.6%, respectively. London's Financial Times stock exchange 100 fared slightly better, losing 3.3%. Bank stocks are particularly vulnerable, but the overall earnings picture has soured considerably because of the prospect of a sharp global economic slowdown. "We believe that a profits recession has already arrived and will deepen," said Bruce Steinberg, chief economist at Merrill Lynch & Co. "Growth prospects for every region of the world have deteriorated in recent weeks. Latin America is teetering on the brink. Arguably, the equity market has already discounted the earnings slowdown yet to come, but we believe that earnings expectations remain excessive and further earnings disappointments are guaranteed in the months ahead." Slower economic growth and the mounting prospect of lower interest rates in the world's leading economies are good news for bonds. U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan signalled last week lower interest rates may be in the cards to keep the U.S. economy on track as the rest of the world slumps. Yesterday, the Bank of England also hinted a rate cut may be on the way. The U.S. bond market had a strong day, with the yield on the 30-year treasury long bond falling to a record 5.20%. The Canadian bond market did even better as investors were encouraged by stability in the C$ to return in a big way to Canadian fixed-income securities. The yield on the Canada long bond dipped as low as 5.45%, near the record low of 5.43% at its July 7 close. It finished the day trading with a yield of 5.51%.