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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MGV who wrote (7865)9/11/1998 12:02:00 PM
From: djane  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 22640
 
So, the $20B to be paid by foreign carriers for TBR just about equals the amount paid out of reserves by the Brazilian govt in this recent crisis. Incredibly sad, wouldn't you say? Brazil had much better things to do with the money other than paying off speculators and paniced foreign investors.



To: MGV who wrote (7865)9/11/1998 12:08:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 22640
 
Mobius: G7 should step in. Fund guru says global leaders should team up on emerging market crisis

cnnfn.com

September 9, 1998: 7:46 a.m. ET

Special Report:
Eye on the
markets
NEW YORK (CNNfn) - While urging world
leaders to work together to solve the crisis of
emerging markets, closely followed fund manager
Mark Mobius said Wednesday investors with a
tolerance for risk should not rule out the prospect
of putting money into Russia.
Mobius, managing director of Templeton
Asset Management, told CNNfn's "Business
Day" that the firm's Russia fund is currently
holding steady until the political situation there
clarifies.
"We are standing still with that fund with 30
percent in cash and the rest in Russian stocks," he
said.
Russian President Boris Yeltsin, who fired the
prime minister and key staffers last month, is
battling it out with the Communist-led lower
house of parliament for approval of his choice for
prime minister, Viktor Chernomyrdin.
Since the ruble was effectively allowed to
devalue last month, the currency has plummeted
more than 60 percent.
But Russia isn't the only emerging market with
troubles. Asia is still digging itself out from and
economic landslide and Malaysia is implementing
radical currency controls to reverse the worst
financial crisis to rock the country for decades.
If something isn't done to rescue these ailing
countries, Mobius said, other countries could
follow suit and investments in all emerging
markets could dry up.
"I think they [the G7 countries and
International Monetary Fund] should put together
a package, but it should be a global package," he
said. "We not only have a Russia crisis, we have a
global crisis."

Mobius pointed a finger at President Clinton,
saying "it's unfortunate" the United States has not
taken a more aggressive leadership role to resolve
the problems.
"Of course, I can understand with the
President preoccupied with other things," he said.
"It's very important, I believe, for there to be a
global conference to be held among top nations to
solve this problem."
Mobius noted that investors who want a
presence in high-risk emerging markets would be
wise to jump in now. Getting into Russian stocks
once the market recovers will be tough to do.
"There are terrific bargains in various parts of
the world," he said. "There is no guarantee the
market is not going to go down further and
people will have losses on paper, but in our view
the bargains are numerous.
We are not
recommending the fund at all, but for people who
want exposure it's probably the best way to go."
The Templeton Russia Fund is currently selling
at a premium.
Mobius said Russia is about two to three years
away from economic recovery, while Asia is
facing two years or less.
Since the government's intervention in the
Hong Kong stock market last month, which
forced investors to cover short positions and
pushed prices up, the Templeton fund has resisted
buying there as well, Mobius added.
"Right now, we are waiting for the government
to finish their buying and then we'll see what
happens," he said. "The government intervention
was not a good move. We don't know how this
game is going to be played out."

Copyright c 1998 Cable News Network, Inc.
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.